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  • April 25, 2014
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  1. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Beijing's financial reforms will push up interest rates

    Posted Jan 16th 2014, 11:41pm by Tom Holland

    ... reforms will push up interest rates In recent months Beijing has slowly been relaxing its long-standing controls over the mainland's interest rates. In July last year, the central bank scrapped its minimum lending rates, in theory allowing banks complete freedom to set interest rates on loans to commercial customers. Then last month the People's Bank of China allowed ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1407148/beijings-financial-reforms-will-push-interest-rates
  2. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    A healthy China would set interest rates at 10 per cent

    Posted Jan 05th 2014, 11:49pm by Tom Holland

    ... Tom Holland Central bank action after spike in repurchase rate highlights that interest rates should be set at level close to nominal pace of output growth A healthy China would set interest rates at 10 per cent A nasty liquidity squeeze gripped the mainland's financial markets in the third week of December. As the country's banks scrambled for cash, the seven-day ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1398419/healthy-china-would-set-interest-rates-10-cent
  3. Business - Economy - MONITOR

    The yuan is falling, but only because Beijing wants it to

    Posted Mar 03rd 2014, 02:59am by Tom Holland

    ... interest rates may be modest. But returns in the onshore market, especially in the mainland's shadow financial system, are considerably higher than on major currencies like the yen ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/economy/article/1438811/yuan-falling-only-because-beijing-wants-it
  4. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    George Osborne is wrong about China and the yuan

    Posted Feb 21st 2014, 12:24am by Tom Holland

    ... not reduced its current account surplus because of external pressure," Osborne gushed, "they've done it because the Chinese understand it is in their self-interest to move away from ... and interest rate arbitrages. The yuan has been strengthening, so people and companies offshore have been happy to hold it. Similarly, in an era of low interest rates, yields on the yuan are relatively ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1432166/george-osborne-wrong-about-china-and-yuan
  5. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    A nice idea Mr Yam, but it will be a long time before it can fly

    Posted Feb 19th 2014, 01:27am by Tom Holland

    ... on the People's Bank of China to ditch its reliance on reserve requirements for managing monetary policy, and to adopt a Western-style policy interest rate instead. Constraining monetary growth by forcing ... would tend to push up interest rates, which would only attract more inflows, compounding the problem. What's more, it also would inflict heavy losses on the central bank, which would earn ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1430637/nice-idea-mr-yam-it-will-be-long-time-it-can-fly
  6. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Neither Singapore nor Hong Kong is an Iceland waiting to happen

    Posted Feb 14th 2014, 12:42am by Tom Holland

    ... economic and monetary boom across much of Asia. In just five years from 2002 to 2007, Iceland’s bank assets ballooned more than tenfold In Singapore interest rates fell to within a whisker of zero, ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1427348/neither-singapore-nor-hong-kong-iceland-waiting-happen
  7. Business - Economy - MONITOR

    To continue growing, China will have to work a lot smarter

    Posted Feb 07th 2014, 05:17am by Tom Holland

    ... labour, or human capital. You can add physical capital. Or you can get smarter about how you work. Measuring the first two inputs is simple. Measuring the third driver of growth is very difficult. ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/economy/article/1422434/continue-growing-china-will-have-work-lot-smarter
  8. Business - Economy - MONITOR

    Continued yuan appreciation is no longer such a sure thing

    Posted Feb 10th 2014, 04:31am by Tom Holland

    ... In 2012 it rose 1.2 per cent and last year it finished 2.9 per cent higher. An unspectacular performance perhaps, but compared to the 0.2 per cent interest rate you can earn on a 12-month Hong ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/economy/article/1424660/continued-yuan-appreciation-no-longer-such-sure-thing
  9. Business - Money - MONITOR

    No need to panic over slide in stock markets

    Posted Feb 05th 2014, 05:37am by Tom Holland

    ... As for global growth, it's something only a few wonkish types at the World Bank really care about. Investors are interested in growth in individual markets, which is a different thing entirely. ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/money/markets-investing/article/1420956/no-need-panic-over-slide-stock-markets
  10. Business - China Business - MONITOR

    It's tough, but China must let trust company products fail

    Posted Jan 27th 2014, 04:23am by Tom Holland

    ... of interest. For their part, lenders regard businesses and investment companies linked to local governments as benefiting from official guarantees, so they are seen as posing low or no risk ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/china-business/article/1414377/its-tough-china-must-let-trust-company-products-fail

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