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  • November 28, 2014
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  1. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Even IMF staffers are warning of an economic crisis in China

    Posted Oct 10th 2013, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... Tom Holland Malhar Nabar and Papa N'Diaye warn that without significant policy changes, China's economy may fall off the rails and take years to recover Even IMF staffers ... to come. The IMF's staffers are alarmed by the way credit in China is ballooning. "In other economies, credit expansions of this kind have often been associated with large mispricing ...

  2. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    BRICS bank will be a recipe either for moral hazard or redundance

    Posted Mar 28th 2013, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... and Japan over the world's supra-national financial institutions, the International Monetary Fund, the World Bank and a clutch of regional development banks. The IMF, World Bank et al ... of emerging economies. It sounds like a reasonable idea- so reasonable, in fact, that we've heard it all before. During the Asian economic crisis of the late 1990s, antipathy towards the IMF ...

  3. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    The 4.3tr yuan cost of financial openness

    Posted Oct 01st 2013, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... outflow could reach 9 trillion yuan, or 18 per cent of China's GDP. However, you don't have to accept my back-of-a-napkin sums. The financial boffins at the IMF have spent far more time ... and 9.9 per cent of China's GDP into the onshore debt and equity markets. Clearly the influx of so much money would risk a severe case of domestic financial indigestion. But, warn the IMF ...

  4. Business - Economy - MONITOR

    To continue growing, China will have to work a lot smarter

    Posted Feb 07th 2014, 05:17am by Tom Holland

    ... physical capital to economic growth will need to fall by between a third and half. The IMF's researchers believe that some of this decline can be offset as reform and deregulation boost ...

  5. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Allowing free capital flows is fast going out of fashion

    Posted Sep 27th 2013, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... consider imposing capital controls to stop inflows of hot money fuelling asset bubbles and inflation. Now, with the Federal Reserve moving towards ending its monetary stimulus, current IMF managing ...

  6. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Yuan IPOs more attractive to accountants than to investors

    Posted Jul 04th 2013, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... The euro is second favourite, making up most of the rest, with the Japanese yen and British pound trailing in third and fourth places. Unfortunately, the IMF's data does not break out figures ...

  7. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    True size of Beijing's deficit matches Japan's black hole

    Posted Jun 12th 2013, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... in borrowing by local government financing vehicles as well as local governments' net revenues from land sales, and, according to the IMF, China's government deficit shoots up from 1.5 per ...

  8. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    When the slump finally comes, home prices could fall by half

    Posted Jan 21st 2013, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... the IMF's boffins also tried valuing Hong Kong's property market using a range of macroeconomic factors, including land supply, construction costs, per capita income, credit availability ...



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