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  • October 3, 2014
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  1. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Stimulus or not, it's the quality of new investment that matters

    Posted Sep 11th 2012, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... Tom Holland What Beijing really needs to do is invest in infrastructure projects that boost future productivity rather than in more white elephants Stimulus or not, it's the quality of new investment that matters Last week Beijing approved 60 major new infrastructure projects together worth 1 trillion yuan (HK$1.22 trillion), or around 2 per cent of China's gross ...

  2. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Tsang's vision of Hong Kong's future is severely out of focus

    Posted Feb 27th 2014, 01:23am by Tom Holland

    ... They are being built solely because officials have set aside money to spend on infrastructure So there you have it. An ageing population means public spending must rise, so taxes will have to go up ... Kong had a young and fast-growing working age population, the city had a crying need for more and better physical infrastructure- roads, tunnels, underground railways- to boost productivity. ...

  3. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Fiscal report based on lunatic projection of capital spending

    Posted Mar 04th 2014, 05:09am by Tom Holland

    ... Tom Holland Fears of looming structural deficits will disappear if the government considers infrastructure spending that complies with actual needs Fiscal report based on lunatic ... this year to 7.2 per cent in 2041. There’s a limit to how many roads, bridges and tunnels Hong Kong needs In 2013 dollars, that means government spending on infrastructure will rise from HK$72 ...

  4. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    It's not heresy to expect grand projects to pay for themselves

    Posted Feb 28th 2014, 01:01am by Tom Holland

    ... of the government's stubborn insistence on segregating the 20 per cent of its total revenues derived from land premium payments and spending them only on new infrastructure projects, which Hong Kong will need ... the funds for badly needed infrastructure projects like the third runway. The answer is the capital market. With the backing of the Hong Kong government, future projects would be able to borrow ...

  5. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    We don't need a Future Fund. The future is already upon us

    Posted Mar 05th 2014, 01:34am by Tom Holland

    ... infrastructure spending to soar from a record HK$78 billion in the coming financial year to a gobsmacking HK$515 billion in 2041- before factoring in general inflation. Their proposal would lock ...

  6. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    The essential financial reform Beijing cannot afford to ignore

    Posted Jan 28th 2014, 01:27am by Tom Holland

    ... above all in new infrastructure. Yet Beijing's rules prohibited local governments both from borrowing directly from China's banks or from issuing bonds. As a result, they had to come ... use rights, which they could then use as collateral against bank loans to fund infrastructure development. So local government-backed investment companies, often called local government ...

  7. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    China's urbanisation policy is based on flawed thinking

    Posted Jul 30th 2013, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... and infrastructure for country-dwellers As a result, reason China's planners, urbanisation will both lift per capita incomes, driving economic growth, and boost household spending, rebalancing ... of infrastructure. As they expected, they found a strong link between income and urbanisation. But when they controlled for other elements like education, the correlation immediately disappeared. In other ...

  8. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Nothing new in Beijing's latest 'clampdown' on shadow loans

    Posted Jan 08th 2014, 03:33am by Tom Holland

    ... 30 per cent of all new credit extended in China over the period (see the first chart). Many of these loans go to local government-backed property and infrastructure projects, often ...

  9. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Spending on old folks isn't the problem- it's the solution

    Posted Jan 14th 2014, 01:37am by Tom Holland

    ... on infrastructure from recurrent revenues, it could afford to raise public health spending to 4 per cent of GDP, which is still only half as much as Canada spends. The Health and Welfare Fund could ...

  10. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Watsons float little reason for Hutch investors to celebrate

    Posted Oct 04th 2013, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... style. Reports suggest he is more interested in raising cash to fund acquisitions in Europe's telecommunications and infrastructure sectors. But whether selling Watsons to buy such assets ... of 6 per cent last year at Hutch's 3G businesses, according to JP Morgan the company's infrastructure investments earned a far more attractive operating margin of 44 per cent. Yet ...




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