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  1. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    All is not what it seems when it comes to China's trade figures

    Posted Jan 09th 2014, 11:51pm by Tom Holland

    ... international goods trade slips to US$3.8 trillion, behind the US figure. We can't stop there though. China's trade figures are also exaggerated because exporters habitually over-invoice ... Tom Holland If double-counting in transshipments and over-invoicing are stripped out of the calculations, US remains a bigger trading power than China All is not what it seems when ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1401758/all-not-what-it-seems-when-it-comes-chinas-trade-figures
  2. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    China not the all-conquering trade power figures suggest

    Posted Dec 19th 2013, 12:12am by Tom Holland

    ... politicians believe. The trouble is that the methods used to tot up international trade figures are hopelessly outdated, and paint a deeply distorted picture of the actual situation. The most famous ... with Japan drops by more than 90 per cent. Clearly traditional methods of accounting for international trade fail to reflect modern supply chains' complexity. Using a value-added approach gives ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1385360/china-not-all-conquering-trade-power-figures-suggest
  3. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    It pays China to block global deals on climate and trade

    Posted Dec 17th 2013, 03:19am by Tom Holland

    ... on climate and trade It's been a hectic couple of months for government negotiators and the myriad do-gooders, lobbyists and other hangers-on that habitually flock to international summit ... trade barriers remains as elusive as ever. Perhaps the failure of these international negotiations shouldn't be too surprising. Treated separately, the complexity of both climate and trade ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1382763/it-pays-china-block-global-deals-climate-and-trade
  4. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Claims China is world's No 1 trading economy are nonsense

    Posted Feb 14th 2013, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... that America's international goods trade was worth just US$3.82 trillion. Hooray! China beats the US by US$50 billion. Except there's a problem: the figures are nonsense. The most obvious way ... international trade in goods, with just US$3.66 trillion of combined imports and exports in 2012, compared with America's US$3.82 trillion. But even those figures are dubious. That's because ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1149696/claims-china-worlds-no-1-trading-economy-are-nonsense
  5. Business - Banking & Finance - MONITOR

    Four reasons the yuan will struggle to gain acceptance

    Posted Feb 06th 2014, 04:24am by Tom Holland

    ... rise to pre-eminence as the world's currency of choice for international trade and investment can only be a matter of time. Yet a look at the economic history books advises caution. Over ... as a currency for invoicing and settling international trade, even among third parties. Other countries chose to anchor their exchange rate to Germany's, and the mark found a prominent place ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/banking-finance/article/1421684/four-reasons-yuan-will-struggle-gain-acceptance
  6. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    George Osborne is wrong about China and the yuan

    Posted Feb 21st 2014, 12:24am by Tom Holland

    ... Tom Holland British chancellor is keen to see the yuan used as an international currency, but China's trade surplus will be a major stumbling block George Osborne is wrong about China ... interest rates is likely to narrow. That will reduce the incentives for international businesses to deal in and hold the yuan. What's more, because China runs a trade surplus, attempting ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1432166/george-osborne-wrong-about-china-and-yuan
  7. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    'Made in America' means added pain for Hong Kong

    Posted May 02nd 2013, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... over recent years was provided by the rapid growth of China, which yielded a bonanza for the city's financial, trade services and retail sectors. But Hong Kong also got a propellant charge from its exchange rate peg to the US dollar. Since 2002, the US dollar has lost a third of its value against a basket made up of the currencies of its trading partners and competitors (see ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1227752/made-america-means-added-pain-hong-kong
  8. Business - Economy - MONITOR

    The yuan is falling, but only because Beijing wants it to

    Posted Mar 03rd 2014, 02:59am by Tom Holland

    ... or the dollar in the international markets. With many investors confident of making additional exchange rate gains on the yuan, hot money has been pouring into the mainland over recent months. During ... appreciating. But that attracts even more inflows. What's more, since mid-2011 the yuan has already gained by about 20 per cent against a trade-weighted basket of currencies. With many other ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/economy/article/1438811/yuan-falling-only-because-beijing-wants-it
  9. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Global enthusiasm for yuan overstated

    Posted Dec 13th 2013, 04:30am by Tom Holland

    ... in the statistics as cross-border trade settled in yuan. If you want to get an impression of how widely the yuan is really used in international trade, you need to double-count these transshipments, adjust ... Tom Holland A closer look at the data reveals real share of China’s goods trade settled in yuan is just 3 to 4pc Global enthusiasm for yuan overstated It may have slipped your notice, ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1379301/global-enthusiasm-yuan-overstated
  10. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    To boost business, WTO must ditch 'all or nothing' approach

    Posted Dec 12th 2013, 03:12am by Tom Holland

    ... the costs of international trade by cutting red tape and standardising and streamlining customs procedures, should yield significant benefits. Victor Fung, honorary chairman of Hong Kong supply ... Tom Holland Two-speed structure would let small groups of members negotiate deals under trade body's structure, with the option of others joining later To boost business, WTO must ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1378473/boost-business-wto-must-ditch-all-or-nothing-approach

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