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  • July 31, 2014
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  1. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Capital investment fails unless you build social capital as well

    Posted Jun 18th 2013, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... airport terminals. Granted, the example is an extreme one, but it helps to illustrate one of the main problems currently facing China's economy. Investment bank analysts are fond of pointing ... Tom Holland The Gulf states' petro-dollar-fuelled spending binge provides an example to China on the need to ensure all that infrastructure can be put to work Capital investment fails ...

  2. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    High time to reconsider your yuan investments

    Posted May 27th 2013, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... winds back its ultra-loose policy settings, capital outflows will diminish and inward investment will pick up. Second, the US example will encourage central banks elsewhere, notably in Europe ... investments Unnerved by the volatility in financial markets last week, two readers asked Monitor whether it was time to get out of their yuan-denominated investments. At first it might seem strange ...

  3. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    A good time to sell Hong Kong's family-owned banks as China's bad debt swells

    Posted Oct 25th 2013, 03:13am by Tom Holland

    ... banks stepped up their lending to the city's property market- both mortgages and loans to investment companies- and they ramped up the amounts they lent outside Hong Kong, principally ... small banks, but not to buy When a family that has owned and run a business for decades looks to sell up and get out, it pays to ask what they see that others don't. So, when two ...

  4. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Hong Kong's wealth fund is doing a lousy job investing our money

    Posted Jan 24th 2014, 02:13am by Tom Holland

    ... is doing a lousy job investing our money You may not know about it, but Hong Kong has a sovereign wealth fund. It's called the Exchange Fund. It manages assets of HK$3 trillion, and its investment performance is abysmal. Yesterday the Hong Kong Monetary Authority announced the Exchange Fund's results for 2013. It managed a return of just 2.7 per cent. When you consider ...

  5. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    A nice idea Mr Yam, but it will be a long time before it can fly

    Posted Feb 19th 2014, 01:27am by Tom Holland

    ... currency to the US dollar, given that the world's financial flows are overwhelmingly US dollar-denominated. The central bank imposes a high reserve requirement for one overriding reason: it’s ... on the People's Bank of China to ditch its reliance on reserve requirements for managing monetary policy, and to adopt a Western-style policy interest rate instead. Constraining monetary growth by forcing ...

  6. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Beijing sends clear message to banks to slow credit creation

    Posted Jun 25th 2013, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... Tom Holland The central bank has eased the liquidity squeeze in money markets but with conditions as investors downgrade their expectations for growth Beijing's signal to banks: credit creation must slow China's central bank eased the liquidity squeeze in mainland money markets yesterday, but only after it made sure the financial system had got the message: credit ...

  7. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    China's 'new normal' growth is still far too optimistic

    Posted Oct 09th 2012, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... Tom Holland Investment-fuelled economy has its limits and even shift to consumption as economic driver won't deliver big results, if precedent is any guide China's 'new ... economy is not just a cyclical dip, but a structural down-shift to a slower growth path. As the World Bank's former mission chief in Beijing, Pieter Bottelier, put it back in back in July: ...

  8. Business - China Business - MONITOR

    It's tough, but China must let trust company products fail

    Posted Jan 27th 2014, 04:23am by Tom Holland

    ... that sell them. In other words, savers typically see an investment in trust company loans as the equivalent of a zero-risk deposit in a state-owned bank, only with a higher return. At the same time, ... let trust company products fail The 700 investors in China's "Credit Equals Gold No1 Trust" are hoping that Industrial and Commercial Bank of China will bail them out. ...

  9. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    George Osborne is wrong about China and the yuan

    Posted Feb 21st 2014, 12:24am by Tom Holland

    ... an investment and export-led model of growth towards something more sustainable." His analysis is spectacularly wide of the mark. It is true that China's current account surplus- the spare ... of any domestic rebalancing. By definition a country's current account balance is the difference between what it saves and what it invests. China saves more than it needs to fund its ...

  10. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Cypriot-style bank crisis could hit Hong Kong too

    Posted Apr 02nd 2013, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... is only 400 per cent (see the first chart). On top of that, Cypriot banks lost heavily on their investments in Greek government bonds. In comparison, the asset side of the Hong Kong banking ... Tom Holland The troubled Mediterranean island is half a world away but financial conditions there bear some eerie similarities to those over here Cypriot-style bank crisis could hit Hong ...




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