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  1. Business - Comment - MONITOR TOM HOLLAND

    Both good and bad news in China's property rebound

    Posted Jan 14th 2013, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... Tom Holland While the recovery in real-estate investment will benefit the world at large, it may only serve to stave off the market slump for the time being Both good and bad news ... prices rose in the majority of big cities in November (see the first chart). This rebound has triggered a revival in construction that saw residential property investment jump 22 per cent ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1127324/both-good-and-bad-news-chinas-property-rebound
  2. Business - Comment - MONITOR TOM HOLLAND

    Selling credit risk to bank depositors is a lousy idea

    Posted Dec 07th 2012, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... customers. Like the buyers of Lehman mini-bonds, they bought the toxic investment on the bank's premises from a bank employee who very likely told them they stood little or no risk of losing ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1099428/selling-credit-risk-bank-depositors-lousy-idea
  3. Business - Comment - MONITOR TOM HOLLAND

    Some surprising new recruits join the ranks of China bears

    Posted Dec 05th 2012, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... of China bears The debate rumbles on. On one hand we have the bulls who believe China needs more investment to power its future development. On the other are the bears, who argue that by investing so heavily, China is wasting money on a colossal scale. The bullish view is championed by banks like HSBC and Goldman Sachs, which have invested heavily in China themselves and hope ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1097571/some-surprising-new-recruits-join-ranks-china-bears
  4. Business - Comment - MONITOR TOM HOLLAND

    Mainland buyers don't share enthusiasm for China shares

    Posted Nov 28th 2012, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... to offset the cost by paying employees in shares. They have restricted the supply of equities by holding back new issues. They have given insurance companies greater freedom to invest in the market. ... their previous tight monetary policy stance and are injecting vast quantities of liquidity into the mainland's money markets. With Beijing's blessing, infrastructure investment is picking up ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1092410/mainland-buyers-dont-share-enthusiasm-china-shares
  5. Business - Comment - MONITOR TOM HOLLAND

    Stories of HK$1m parking slots mean it's finally time to worry

    Posted Nov 21st 2012, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... was a fund manager, famed, and later infamous, for his rigorously analytical investment style. Like Benjamin Graham and Warren Buffett, Dye was a value investor, who focused on buying solid companies when they looked cheap and avoiding markets that appeared overpriced. This approach led him to make some startlingly successful market calls. At the end of the 1980s, as chief investment ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1086955/stories-hk1m-parking-slots-mean-its-finally-time-worry
  6. Business - China Business - MONITOR TOM HOLLAND

    Worrying economic parallels between China and India

    Posted May 21st 2013, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... spending may have helped redistribute wealth and support growth, but it also exacerbated inflation and crowded out productive private sector investment. As a result, both consumer and wholesale inflation rose to more than 10 per cent, forcing the central bank to raise interest rates to punitive levels. In response, private sector investment dropped from 27 per cent of GDP to 24 per cent. ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/china-business/article/1242265/worrying-economic-parallels-between-china-and-india
  7. Business - Comment - MONITOR TOM HOLLAND

    Plunge in gold price puts a bad idea out of its misery

    Posted May 20th 2013, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... at the end of May would have sidestepped the market's gut-wrenching plunge following the implosion of US investment bank Lehman Brothers in September. And if he had then bought at the end ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1241439/plunge-gold-price-puts-bad-idea-out-its-misery
  8. Business - Comment - MONITOR TOM HOLLAND

    Cyclically bullish on China's market but a structural bear

    Posted Jan 11th 2013, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... Tom Holland The country's corporate earnings outlook is clouded by overcapacity arising from excessive investments in uneconomic projects Cyclically bullish on China's market ... for the United States stands at just 64 per cent. "This tells me that China is a massively leveraged economy," he says, warning that with too much money around, companies are investing far too ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1125006/cyclically-bullish-chinas-market-structural-bear
  9. Business - Comment - MONITOR TOM HOLLAND

    Zhang Gaoli's Tianjin economic model promises disaster for China

    Posted Nov 06th 2012, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... of Tianjin, Zhang went all out to promote rapid growth through massive investment. Leading the charge was the Binhai New Area, an enormous 2,000 square kilometre development zone touted as a rival ... three marinas for yachts, and a veritable forest of glittering new office towers, so far mostly untenanted. On average over the past few years, investment in fixed assets has made up more than ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1075766/zhang-gaolis-tianjin-economic-model-promises-disaster-china
  10. Business - Comment - MONITOR TOM HOLLAND

    Cautionary fable from 1994 holds good for China today

    Posted Nov 27th 2012, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... Tom Holland This year, China's growth is expected to be driven by investment without gains in efficiency and this scenario is not sustainable, says a consultant Cautionary fable from ... workforce, and investing lavishly in machinery and infrastructure had produced an enormous surge in output. But the growth was based on "perspiration rather than inspiration". Everything ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1091571/cautionary-fable-1994-holds-good-china-today

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