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  • September 23, 2014
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  1. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Hong Kong's wealth fund is doing a lousy job investing our money

    Posted Jan 24th 2014, 02:13am by Tom Holland

    ... is doing a lousy job investing our money You may not know about it, but Hong Kong has a sovereign wealth fund. It's called the Exchange Fund. It manages assets of HK$3 trillion, and its investment performance is abysmal. Yesterday the Hong Kong Monetary Authority announced the Exchange Fund's results for 2013. It managed a return of just 2.7 per cent. When you consider ...

  2. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Capital investment fails unless you build social capital as well

    Posted Jun 18th 2013, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... Tom Holland The Gulf states' petro-dollar-fuelled spending binge provides an example to China on the need to ensure all that infrastructure can be put to work Capital investment fails ... as the main means of transport. The in-rushing tide of petro-dollars soon changed all that. Cash-rich governments rapidly embarked on enormous programmes of infrastructure investment, building ...

  3. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    High time to reconsider your yuan investments

    Posted May 27th 2013, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... investments Unnerved by the volatility in financial markets last week, two readers asked Monitor whether it was time to get out of their yuan-denominated investments. At first it might seem strange ... winds back its ultra-loose policy settings, capital outflows will diminish and inward investment will pick up. Second, the US example will encourage central banks elsewhere, notably in Europe ...

  4. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    BRICs is now an investment theme well past its expiry date

    Posted Dec 12th 2012, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... Tom Holland Faster growth in the emerging markets gave investors good returns from 2002 to 2007 but since then those markets have crumbled BRICs is now an investment theme well past its expiry date Some 10 years after analysts at Goldman Sachs coined the acronym BRICs, tying Brazil, Russia, India and China into a single investment theme, the concept is beginning to look ...

  5. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Stimulus or not, it's the quality of new investment that matters

    Posted Sep 11th 2012, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... Tom Holland What Beijing really needs to do is invest in infrastructure projects that boost future productivity rather than in more white elephants Stimulus or not, it's the quality of new investment that matters Last week Beijing approved 60 major new infrastructure projects together worth 1 trillion yuan (HK$1.22 trillion), or around 2 per cent of China's gross ...

  6. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Declining property investment the key to China's slowdown

    Posted Sep 14th 2012, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... Tom Holland Export figures are looking grim but the real reason for declining growth rate can be found in Beijing's efforts to cool the housing market Declining property investment ... to find the cause of the recent slowdown, we'll have to search elsewhere. One obvious thing to look at is residential property investment. Back in early 2010 Beijing introduced a suite ...

  7. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Despite talk of reform, no sign of rebalancing in China's data

    Posted Jan 21st 2014, 01:05am by Tom Holland

    ... Tom Holland In contrast to Beijing's pledges, investment has played a bigger role in driving the economy while the share of private demand has diminished Despite talk of reform, ... to be "unstable, unbalanced, unco-ordinated and unsustainable". At the time, Wen pledged as a matter of urgency to engineer a shift away from the investment-led growth trajectory towards a more ...

  8. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    George Osborne is wrong about China and the yuan

    Posted Feb 21st 2014, 12:24am by Tom Holland

    ... an investment and export-led model of growth towards something more sustainable." His analysis is spectacularly wide of the mark. It is true that China's current account surplus- the spare ... of any domestic rebalancing. By definition a country's current account balance is the difference between what it saves and what it invests. China saves more than it needs to fund its ...

  9. Business - Economy - MONITOR

    To continue growing, China will have to work a lot smarter

    Posted Feb 07th 2014, 05:17am by Tom Holland

    ... on credit-fuelled investment by local governments and state industries and a good deal more reliant on private service sector businesses. Where they diverge is on how smoothly reform will proceed, ... will release a pent-up wave of productivity growth. That boost, they say, should easily offset any short-term pain caused by the elimination of excess capacity in China's over-invested heavy ...

  10. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    China a green energy leader? Don't make me laugh

    Posted May 01st 2013, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... March declaration that "we shouldn't pursue economic growth at the expense of the environment", the report applauds Beijing's emphasis on investing in clean energy. It says ... the Pew Charitable Trusts announced that "China is the world's leader" in green technology, having invested US$65 billion in clean energy last year. Thanks to all this investment ...




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