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  • July 30, 2014
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  1. Business - Economy - MONITOR

    To continue growing, China will have to work a lot smarter

    Posted Feb 07th 2014, 05:17am by Tom Holland

    ... They expect the annual growth rate to slump well below 5 per cent over the coming years. Both camps recognise that China's economy needs to reform and rebalance, becoming a lot less dependent ... labour, or human capital. You can add physical capital. Or you can get smarter about how you work. Measuring the first two inputs is simple. Measuring the third driver of growth is very difficult. ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/economy/article/1422434/continue-growing-china-will-have-work-lot-smarter
  2. Business - Economy - MONITOR

    Immigration and reclamation won't raise living standards

    Posted Feb 18th 2014, 04:34am by Tom Holland

    ... reclamation projects. In contrast, Hong Kong is suffering dire shortages of both labour and land, Tsang argued; shortages which threaten severely to handicap the city's future economic growth. ... reason to believe it would achieve any more in Hong Kong. Tsang's eagerness to expand the city's labour force and land area merely exposes the government's twin obsessions ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/economy/article/1429854/immigration-and-reclamation-wont-raise-living-standards
  3. Business - Banking & Finance - MONITOR

    The encouraging signs behind China's record funding figures

    Posted Feb 17th 2014, 04:47am by Tom Holland

    ... financing" indicator rose to a record 2.58 trillion yuan in January. Of that, 993 billion yuan was extended through the shadow financial system. If you are in the camp that believes the mainland ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/banking-finance/article/1429144/encouraging-signs-behind-chinas-record-funding-figures
  4. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    No 'taper tantrum' this time, but Hong Kong can't be complacent

    Posted Dec 20th 2013, 01:07am by Tom Holland

    ... actively looking for work, not those who have dropped out of the labour force entirely. Factor those in, and the proportion of the US working-age population not in employment remains at its lowest ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1386212/no-taper-tantrum-time-hong-kong-cant-be-complacent
  5. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Reform pledges likely to hurt both stock prices and yuan

    Posted Nov 27th 2013, 03:32am by Tom Holland

    ... the yuan's appreciation has helped push China's labour costs sharply higher. From just half Thailand's manufacturing costs 10 years ago, China's unit labour costs have now reached ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1366540/reform-pledges-likely-hurt-both-stock-prices-and-yuan
  6. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    The plenum speech Xi Jinping ought to deliver (but won't)

    Posted Oct 30th 2013, 02:32am by Tom Holland

    ... supports. We have nurtured our young economic enterprises with cheap capital, a cheap currency, cheap labour, cheap land and cheap energy. Thanks to these supports, we have grown fast and grown ... of cut-price migrant labour. That has boosted industrial growth, but it has also created an underclass of migrant workers with limited rights and meagre incomes. To raise the incomes of China's ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1343106/plenum-speech-xi-jinping-ought-deliver-wont
  7. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Even IMF staffers are warning of an economic crisis in China

    Posted Oct 10th 2013, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... they warn. The problem with the current approach is that China's growth over the past couple of decades has been driven almost entirely by the mass mobilisation of capital and labour ... to below 4 per cent a year. The solution, argue Nabar and N'Diaye, is for the central government to quit simply pouring more capital and labour into the economic cake mix, and instead to focus ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1328127/even-imf-staffers-are-warning-economic-crisis-china
  8. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Arguments for keeping Hong Kong's stamp duty fail close scrutiny

    Posted Nov 01st 2013, 03:09am by Tom Holland

    ... lots- divided into three camps. A few complained that I was aiming at the wrong target. Hong Kong's 0.2 per cent stamp duty was only a minor expense compared to local brokerage commissions, ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1344773/arguments-keeping-hong-kongs-stamp-duty-fail-close-scrutiny
  9. Business - Economy - MONITOR

    Why 4 per cent annual growth will be great news for China

    Posted Oct 07th 2013, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... years: the size of the mainland's labour force, workers' skills, rural migration and changes in workers' productivity. Knowing the age profile of the population, we can be sure how ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/economy/article/1325946/why-4-cent-annual-growth-will-be-great-news-china
  10. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Watsons float little reason for Hutch investors to celebrate

    Posted Oct 04th 2013, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... it would be a mistake to assume Hutch will be able to make such fat margins on European infrastructure assets in the future. The announcement last week by Britain's Labour Party ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1323875/watsons-float-little-reason-hutch-investors-celebrate

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