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  • July 29, 2014
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  1. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    After nine years, it's time to leave the stage

    Posted Mar 06th 2014, 12:25am by Tom Holland

    ... Kong's public finances. The city's fiscal position was unsustainable, they warned, arguing the only way to balance the books would be to impose a goods and services tax. Public opinion ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1441327/after-nine-years-its-time-leave-stage
  2. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Who's more damaging, Hong Kong officials or Occupy Central?

    Posted Feb 25th 2014, 12:32am by Tom Holland

    ... the city's reputation rests on the reliability of its legal system, the credibility of its regulators, the solidity of its institutions, the know-how of its financiers and the freedom of its ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1434352/whos-more-damaging-hong-kong-officials-or-occupy-central
  3. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Fiscal report based on lunatic projection of capital spending

    Posted Mar 04th 2014, 05:09am by Tom Holland

    ... which assumes no improvements in services, the government will have burned through its accumulated reserves by 2040, and will be reliant on borrowing to fill the HK$271 billion hole in its ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1439605/fiscal-report-based-lunatic-projection-capital-spending
  4. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Tsang's vision of Hong Kong's future is severely out of focus

    Posted Feb 27th 2014, 01:23am by Tom Holland

    ... education, welfare and health services, the financial secretary warned we will be plunged into "a structural deficit" in just seven years. Even if the government were to freeze real per ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1435878/tsangs-vision-hong-kongs-future-severely-out-focus
  5. Business - Economy - MONITOR

    Immigration and reclamation won't raise living standards

    Posted Feb 18th 2014, 04:34am by Tom Holland

    ... of non-traded goods and services, like housing. As Monitor has pointed out before, if you look at real GDP per capita in local currency terms, you find that Hong Kong has averaged a 3.9 per cent growth ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/economy/article/1429854/immigration-and-reclamation-wont-raise-living-standards
  6. Business - Economy - MONITOR

    Occupy Central is no threat to Hong Kong's economy

    Posted Nov 28th 2013, 04:17am by Tom Holland

    ... Tom Holland City counts on standing of regulators, reliability of legal system, solidity of institutions, freedom of information and know-how of financiers Occupy Central is no threat ... as a financial centre rests on the reliability of its legal system, the credibility of its regulators, the solidity of its institutions, the freedom of its information and the know-how of its financiers. ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/economy/article/1367337/occupy-central-no-threat-hong-kongs-economy
  7. Business - Economy - MONITOR

    To continue growing, China will have to work a lot smarter

    Posted Feb 07th 2014, 05:17am by Tom Holland

    ... on credit-fuelled investment by local governments and state industries and a good deal more reliant on private service sector businesses. Where they diverge is on how smoothly reform will proceed, ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/economy/article/1422434/continue-growing-china-will-have-work-lot-smarter
  8. Business - China Business - MONITOR

    It's tough, but China must let trust company products fail

    Posted Jan 27th 2014, 04:23am by Tom Holland

    ... the products cannot service their debts. It's tough on the investors, of course, especially as it's likely many buyers were misled about the real level of risks involved in trust products ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/china-business/article/1414377/its-tough-china-must-let-trust-company-products-fail
  9. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Beijing's financial reforms will push up interest rates

    Posted Jan 16th 2014, 11:41pm by Tom Holland

    ... guarantees are eliminated will lenders be able to assess credit risk accurately and price loans accordingly. As a result, some private sector businesses, especially service sector companies which ... problems. Some borrowers will have trouble servicing their debts. Meanwhile, higher interest rates will make the yuan even more attractive to international investors and entice even more hot money ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1407148/beijings-financial-reforms-will-push-interest-rates
  10. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Chinese investors should avoid Britain's rotten egg rail project

    Posted Jan 13th 2014, 12:55am by Tom Holland

    ... to 200km/h, however, then you only need to separate each train by 6.5km/h, which means you can operate 30 services an hour. In other words, if HS2 is really intended to relieve congestion, its trains will run no faster than the existing services, which means there will be no benefits from reduced journey times. So unless China's investors want to end up with rotten egg on their faces, ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1404111/chinese-investors-should-avoid-britains-rotten-egg-rail-project

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