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  • August 29, 2014
  • Last updated: 8:02pm
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  1. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    We don't need a Future Fund. The future is already upon us

    Posted Mar 05th 2014, 01:34am by Tom Holland

    ... It is not future generations that are under pressure. It is the generation of Hongkongers now approaching old age with inadequate or non-existent pensions and no health insurance that needs public help. ...

  2. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Spending on old folks isn't the problem- it's the solution

    Posted Jan 14th 2014, 01:37am by Tom Holland

    ... that shouldn't be a problem. First, the government should raise the retirement age to 70; no bad idea considering Hong Kong's average life expectancy is now well above 80. That would allow ... of inflation for health care services has led to horror stories about Hong Kong's unsustainable future health bills. For example, one insurance company estimate sees the city's total spending ...

  3. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Fears over a 'tail risk' hard landing in China are growing

    Posted Feb 20th 2014, 01:10am by Tom Holland

    ... if Chinese growth were to slump. Happily, it is possible to take out insurance against a hard landing. To make things easy, Jonathan Garner and the cross-asset research team at Morgan Stanley have ...

  4. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    By avoiding a small crisis now China risks a big one in future

    Posted Jan 29th 2014, 05:02am by Tom Holland

    ... the traditional store house for ICBC's bad assets; state insurance giant PICC, which owns a third of the trust company that structured the product; and the provincial government of Shanxi, ...

  5. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Beijing's financial reforms will push up interest rates

    Posted Jan 16th 2014, 11:41pm by Tom Holland

    ... to put in place first. Before it can liberalise deposit rates, Beijing needs to introduce a deposit insurance scheme. The authorities also need to make it abundantly clear that only investment products that carry an explicit guarantee- like insured deposits- carry any guarantee at all. Implicit guarantees count for nothing. Market interest rates will advance the rebalancing so ...

  6. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    British model of governance is nothing for Hong Kong to boast about

    Posted Dec 05th 2013, 06:00am by Tom Holland

    ... pick up a copy of a recently published book The blunders of our governments, by Anthony King and Ivor Crewe, two eminent academics and long-time observers of British political life. In it, ...

  7. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Arguments for keeping Hong Kong's stamp duty fail close scrutiny

    Posted Nov 01st 2013, 03:09am by Tom Holland

    ... pension funds and insurance companies execute large trades, to the benefit of ordinary investors. If that liquidity sometimes evaporates, its occasional absence is no reason to argue it should ...

  8. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    The HK$1 trillion reason to keep Hong Kong's US dollar peg

    Posted Oct 15th 2013, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... Kong has outsourced its bond market to the US. As a result, while the city's financial institutions- its insurance companies and pension funds- have Hong Kong dollar liabilities, ...

  9. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Five years later, what has the mini-bond scandal taught us?

    Posted Sep 18th 2013, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... at the time. Many customers thought they were getting something akin to a deposit, only with a higher yield. What they were actually doing was writing insurance against defaults by a basket of companies. Worse, because the insurance was in the form of credit derivative contracts struck with Lehman Brothers, they were also getting exposure to Lehman's own creditworthiness. When ...

  10. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    The 4.3tr yuan cost of financial openness

    Posted Oct 01st 2013, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... investment outflows As a result, every asset manager, pension fund and insurance company in the world that benchmarks its investment performance against an international index would have to reweight ...




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