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  • October 23, 2014
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  1. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Declining property investment the key to China's slowdown

    Posted Sep 14th 2012, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... Tom Holland Export figures are looking grim but the real reason for declining growth rate can be found in Beijing's efforts to cool the housing market Declining property investment ... to find the cause of the recent slowdown, we'll have to search elsewhere. One obvious thing to look at is residential property investment. Back in early 2010 Beijing introduced a suite ...

  2. Comment - Insight & Opinion - MONITOR

    The unintended consequences of Hong Kong's property policies

    Posted Nov 29th 2013, 04:27am by Tom Holland

    ... of HK's property policies Hong Kong officials invariably mean well. But it is uncanny how often government policies end up achieving not their intended effect, but the exact opposite. Nowhere is this more true than in the property market. Just consider the housing policy announced by the first post-handover administration. In a bid to boost his popularity, then chief executive Tung Chee-hwa ...

  3. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    'Strange and worrying' that Hong Kong government doesn't get it

    Posted Oct 16th 2012, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... Tom Holland For any confused officials, here's a quick rundown on the critical factors propelling the city's residential property prices up into the stratosphere 'Strange ... to understand Hong Kong's property prices. The market, he said, was in a "strange and worrying" state. "Property prices are rising consistently, while our economic performance ...

  4. Business - Property - MONITOR

    Contradictory figures fuelling China property bubble debate

    Posted Sep 25th 2013, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... Tom Holland To settle this argument we need to know how much housing was built since 1995. Sadly, the official numbers are all over the map Contradictory figures fuelling China property bubble debate Chatter about a bubble in China's property market has risen to deafening volumes lately. Since the authorities released numbers last week showing that home prices in major ...

  5. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Shanghai free zone smells like it's just another property deal

    Posted Sep 16th 2013, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... smells like it's just another property deal The American critic HL Mencken famously said that "a cynic is a man who, when he smells flowers, looks around for a coffin". ... always looks around for a property deal. That's why it is difficult either to get excited about Shenzhen's Qianhai area and Shanghai's new special zone, or to get worried about ...

  6. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    We like discrimination in principle. But will it work?

    Posted Nov 05th 2012, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... Tom Holland Many believe that keeping out the outsiders will make property more affordable for locals but don't hold your breath for cheaper homes Clearly I'm way out of step. ... expressed a view about its likely effectiveness, only 60 per cent thought the tax would succeed in making properties more affordable for local buyers. In contrast, 40 per cent said it would fail. ...

  7. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Hong Kong government must change the way it taxes property

    Posted Aug 15th 2013, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... Tom Holland The lump-sum land-premium system should be replaced with a scheme whereby rental income is collected from leaseholders Government must change the way it taxes property In his ... The government should [be] collecting revenue over the whole lifetime of property projects Tsang quickly ruled out plugging the gap by drawing down the government's accumulated reserves, which ...

  8. Comment - Insight & Opinion - MONITOR

    A property slump will affect the whole of Hong Kong's economy

    Posted Jul 18th 2013, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... Tom Holland A property slump will affect the whole of HK's economy Last week Monitor argued that the gradual tapering of quantitative easing and the eventual increase in American interest rates that will follow are likely to trigger a slump in Hong Kong property prices of 30 per cent or more. That might sound like a good thing. Lots of families would like to buy. ...

  9. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    After nine years, it's time to leave the stage

    Posted Mar 06th 2014, 12:25am by Tom Holland

    ... Chee-hwa was still the chief executive of Hong Kong's government, and the city was struggling to emerge from a six-year-long deflationary slump. Property prices were down by half from ... per cent in real terms. The property market has soared 130 per cent. The Hang Seng Index is up 63 per cent, and unemployment has fallen by half. However, the changes in Hong Kong pale beside ...

  10. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Neither Singapore nor Hong Kong is an Iceland waiting to happen

    Posted Feb 14th 2014, 12:42am by Tom Holland

    ... inflating a property bubble which pushed home prices up by a third. Bank lending to domestic and overseas borrowers ballooned, with the assets of Singapore's banks rising to S$2.1 trillion ... The government has imposed a series of administrative restrictions aimed at cooling the property market, while the Hong Kong Monetary Authority has sounded the alarm about rising levels of consumer debt ...




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