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  • July 24, 2014
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  1. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Declining property investment the key to China's slowdown

    Posted Sep 14th 2012, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... to find the cause of the recent slowdown, we'll have to search elsewhere. One obvious thing to look at is residential property investment. Back in early 2010 Beijing introduced a suite ... the year-on-year growth rate of investment in residential property had fallen to just 5 per cent, down from 38 per cent a year earlier. The decline mattered. Independent research house Capital Economics ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1036300/declining-property-investment-key-chinas-slowdown
  2. Business - Property - MONITOR

    Contradictory figures fuelling China property bubble debate

    Posted Sep 25th 2013, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... Tom Holland To settle this argument we need to know how much housing was built since 1995. Sadly, the official numbers are all over the map Contradictory figures fuelling China property bubble debate Chatter about a bubble in China's property market has risen to deafening volumes lately. Since the authorities released numbers last week showing that home prices in major ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1317042/contradictory-figures-fuelling-china-property-bubble-debate
  3. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    'Strange and worrying' that Hong Kong government doesn't get it

    Posted Oct 16th 2012, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... Tom Holland For any confused officials, here's a quick rundown on the critical factors propelling the city's residential property prices up into the stratosphere 'Strange ... the city's residential property market? Evidently it is. So, for all those government officials confounded by the market's buoyancy, here's a brief primer on why Hong Kong home prices ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1061952/strange-and-worrying-hong-kong-government-doesnt-get-it
  4. Comment - Insight & Opinion - MONITOR

    A property slump will affect the whole of Hong Kong's economy

    Posted Jul 18th 2013, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... other sectors of Hong Kong's domestic economy. First of all, a property bear market will erode consumer demand. With residential mortgage debt currently standing at 46 per cent of Hong ... Tom Holland A property slump will affect the whole of HK's economy Last week Monitor argued that the gradual tapering of quantitative easing and the eventual increase in American ...

    http://www.scmp.com/comment/insight-opinion/article/1284926/property-slump-will-affect-whole-hong-kongs-economy
  5. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    After nine years, it's time to leave the stage

    Posted Mar 06th 2014, 12:25am by Tom Holland

    ... Chee-hwa was still the chief executive of Hong Kong's government, and the city was struggling to emerge from a six-year-long deflationary slump. Property prices were down by half from ... per cent in real terms. The property market has soared 130 per cent. The Hang Seng Index is up 63 per cent, and unemployment has fallen by half. However, the changes in Hong Kong pale beside ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1441327/after-nine-years-its-time-leave-stage
  6. Comment - Insight & Opinion - MONITOR

    The unintended consequences of Hong Kong's property policies

    Posted Nov 29th 2013, 04:27am by Tom Holland

    ... of HK's property policies Hong Kong officials invariably mean well. But it is uncanny how often government policies end up achieving not their intended effect, but the exact opposite. Nowhere is this more true than in the property market. Just consider the housing policy announced by the first post-handover administration. In a bid to boost his popularity, then chief executive Tung Chee-hwa ...

    http://www.scmp.com/comment/insight-opinion/article/1368146/unintended-consequences-hong-kongs-property-policies
  7. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    It's not heresy to expect grand projects to pay for themselves

    Posted Feb 28th 2014, 01:01am by Tom Holland

    ... a painfully steep hidden tax in the form of sky-high property costs. For example, in line with the government's much-vaunted "user pays principle", we could charge visitors to the city ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1436598/its-not-heresy-expect-grand-projects-pay-themselves
  8. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Neither Singapore nor Hong Kong is an Iceland waiting to happen

    Posted Feb 14th 2014, 12:42am by Tom Holland

    ... inflating a property bubble which pushed home prices up by a third. Bank lending to domestic and overseas borrowers ballooned, with the assets of Singapore's banks rising to S$2.1 trillion ... The government has imposed a series of administrative restrictions aimed at cooling the property market, while the Hong Kong Monetary Authority has sounded the alarm about rising levels of consumer debt ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1427348/neither-singapore-nor-hong-kong-iceland-waiting-happen
  9. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Excluding mainlanders won't allay main property grievance

    Posted Oct 29th 2012, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... 15 per cent stamp duty on top of the standard rate; 20 per cent if he or she sells within six months. Secondly, all individual buyers of residential properties who are not Hong Kong permanent ... property grievance On Friday evening Financial Secretary John Tsang Chun-wah announced two new punitive property tax measures aimed at "maintaining a healthy, stable property market". ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1072030/excluding-mainlanders-wont-allay-main-property-grievance
  10. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Hopes for affordable homes in Hong Kong sure to be dashed

    Posted Apr 23rd 2013, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... 2.75 per cent to 3 per cent. You can already see the impact in the market. The number of residential property transactions plunged in March, falling 60 per cent compared with the same month ... Tom Holland A recent pause in the relentless upward march of property prices will be short-lived without major reforms to land policy and the US dollar peg Hopes for affordable homes in HK ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1220934/hopes-affordable-homes-hong-kong-sure-be-dashed

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