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  • July 26, 2014
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  1. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Who's more damaging, Hong Kong officials or Occupy Central?

    Posted Feb 25th 2014, 12:32am by Tom Holland

    ... the impact of traffic jams, it is the transport secretary they should be complaining about The most common scare stories are that Occupy will cause traffic jams, deter tourists, damage Hong ... not the Occupy organisers. Next, if the Occupy movement really were to deter tourists, it is likely many Hongkongers would be grateful. In reality, however, the economic impact will be minimal. The vast ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1434352/whos-more-damaging-hong-kong-officials-or-occupy-central
  2. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    It's not heresy to expect grand projects to pay for themselves

    Posted Feb 28th 2014, 01:01am by Tom Holland

    ... a HK$100 arrival tax. With the government looking to attract 70 million tourists a year, that would raise a handy HK$7 billion, or 1.6 per cent of total revenues. When this suggestion was made a couple of weeks ago, the tourism lobby howled in protest, screaming that it would drive visitors away. That's nonsense. If tourists are prepared to pay HK$450 a pop to visit Disneyland- ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1436598/its-not-heresy-expect-grand-projects-pay-themselves
  3. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    After nine years, it's time to leave the stage

    Posted Mar 06th 2014, 12:25am by Tom Holland

    ... Tom Holland In his final column, Tom Holland laments the fact that despite dramatic growth on the mainland, many of its problems have become even worse After nine years, it's time ... those on the mainland, where many of the cities have altered almost beyond recognition. Nine years ago, China's economy ranked seventh in the world; smaller than Italy's. Today ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1441327/after-nine-years-its-time-leave-stage
  4. Business - Economy - MONITOR

    The yuan is falling, but only because Beijing wants it to

    Posted Mar 03rd 2014, 02:59am by Tom Holland

    ... because Beijing wants it to It is hard to fathom quite why so many people have been surprised by the recent fall in the value of the yuan. Over the past couple of weeks, the mainland currency has ... the currency duly began to slump just one week later, we can be certain that the mainland authorities were behind the move. The reasons Beijing would like to see the yuan fall are clear enough. Yuan ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/economy/article/1438811/yuan-falling-only-because-beijing-wants-it
  5. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Fears over a 'tail risk' hard landing in China are growing

    Posted Feb 20th 2014, 01:10am by Tom Holland

    ... Tom Holland Any slump in the mainland economy will inevitably cause casualties including Hong Kong because of the banking sector’s exposure Fears over a 'tail risk' hard landing in China are growing Yesterday, the South China Morning Post reported how Beijing's central propaganda department has instructed mainland media organisations not to give air time or column ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1431315/fears-over-tail-risk-hard-landing-china-are-growing
  6. Business - Banking & Finance - MONITOR

    The encouraging signs behind China's record funding figures

    Posted Feb 17th 2014, 04:47am by Tom Holland

    ... Tom Holland January's data in fact underscores the tightening trend on the mainland, which will help avert the danger of a full-blown crisis in future years The encouraging signs ... on Saturday. The bald numbers tell us that mainland banks last month made local and foreign-currency loans worth 1.48 trillion yuan (HK$1.9 trillion). That's the highest monthly lending figure ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/banking-finance/article/1429144/encouraging-signs-behind-chinas-record-funding-figures
  7. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Even an export rebound won't do much to lift China growth

    Posted Feb 13th 2014, 01:07am by Tom Holland

    ... Tom Holland As the mainland has become an economic powerhouse in recent years, foreign demand now plays a much smaller role in driving expansion Even an export rebound won't do much to lift China growth The mainland's January trade figures confounded analysts everywhere. Released yesterday, last month's exports were not only much stronger than anyone expected, ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1426699/even-export-rebound-wont-do-much-lift-china-growth
  8. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Even Hong Kong's best efforts may not help to clear our air

    Posted Feb 12th 2014, 12:46am by Tom Holland

    ... Tom Holland City's anti-pollution campaign will not end problem as long as the mainland continues to burn coal to satisfy its power demand Even Hong Kong's best efforts may ... stuff that poisons us the most is indeed pumped out here in our streets, Hong Kong also suffers from what we might call ambient pollution: the murky haze that rolls down from the great mainland ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1426234/even-hong-kongs-best-efforts-may-not-help-clear-our-air
  9. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Neither Singapore nor Hong Kong is an Iceland waiting to happen

    Posted Feb 14th 2014, 12:42am by Tom Holland

    ... about the risks of local banks' rising exposure to China. According to Fitch Ratings, mainland-related exposures have almost tripled since the financial crisis, reaching roughly 30 per cent of total bank assets by the middle of last year. Bankers insist that their mainland loans are low risk, and plentifully collateralised. Sceptics respond that the rule of law is sketchy ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1427348/neither-singapore-nor-hong-kong-iceland-waiting-happen
  10. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    George Osborne is wrong about China and the yuan

    Posted Feb 21st 2014, 12:24am by Tom Holland

    ... from Britain," one mainlander asked Monitor at the time). Next week education minister Elizabeth Truss is due to lead a delegation to Shanghai to investigate why it is that Chinese pupils ... published yet). So China has only reduced the difference between its savings and investment by investing more. Far from rebalancing, as Osborne believes, the mainland's economy has become even ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1432166/george-osborne-wrong-about-china-and-yuan

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