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  • September 23, 2014
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  1. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Attempts to diversify China's reserves have been a disaster

    Posted May 22nd 2013, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... China's reserves have been a disaster American asset prices have been enjoying a ripsnorting rally lately. Over the last six months the S&P500 stock index has climbed 20 per cent. Alternative ... in the past have made up at least half of its total foreign currency holdings. Now it is looking to spice up its US portfolio with the addition of stocks, private equity, real estate and other ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1243004/attempts-diversify-chinas-reserves-have-been-disaster
  2. Business - Commodities - MONITOR

    China's own policies made it a commodity price-taker

    Posted Jul 02nd 2013, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... echoing a complaint made periodically over recent years by Chinese officials. China, they grumble, is a price-taker in global commodity markets. In other words, China is forced to pay the prices ... thinks he is paying too much, and would rather pay less for what he's getting. This raises a couple of questions. First, you have to wonder why Li, as the man who presided over HKEx's ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/commodities/article/1273429/chinas-own-policies-made-it-commodity-price-taker
  3. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Neither Singapore nor Hong Kong is an Iceland waiting to happen

    Posted Feb 14th 2014, 12:42am by Tom Holland

    ... Tom Holland Despite predictions of disaster befalling the two Asian cities, they are far healthier financially than Nordic island before its economic crisis Neither Singapore nor HK is an Iceland waiting to happen Thank you to the reader who pointed me towards the recent Forbes article warning that "Singapore's economy is heading for an Iceland-style meltdown". ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1427348/neither-singapore-nor-hong-kong-iceland-waiting-happen
  4. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    US economic recovery could spell disaster for Hong Kong

    Posted Apr 30th 2013, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... Tom Holland City's property market would suffer a huge blow from higher American interest rates, which are likely to result if the US recovery progresses US economic recovery could spell disaster for Hong Kong Last Friday, the United States released data showing the world's biggest economy grew at a weaker than forecast 2.5 per cent annualised rate over the first ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1226208/us-economic-recovery-could-spell-disaster-hong-kong
  5. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Tsang's vision of Hong Kong's future is severely out of focus

    Posted Feb 27th 2014, 01:23am by Tom Holland

    ... are not quite sure what that means, the financial secretary made his position clear. "I am all for it," he declared. "I shall not rule out any means to increase tax revenue." ... Instead, as Tsang made clear in yesterday's budget, the government is going to go on wasting billions on unnecessary infrastructure, while raising new taxes to meet Hong Kong's real ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1435878/tsangs-vision-hong-kongs-future-severely-out-focus
  6. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    It's not heresy to expect grand projects to pay for themselves

    Posted Feb 28th 2014, 01:01am by Tom Holland

    ... a HK$100 arrival tax. With the government looking to attract 70 million tourists a year, that would raise a handy HK$7 billion, or 1.6 per cent of total revenues. When this suggestion was made ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1436598/its-not-heresy-expect-grand-projects-pay-themselves
  7. Business - Banking & Finance - MONITOR

    The encouraging signs behind China's record funding figures

    Posted Feb 17th 2014, 04:47am by Tom Holland

    ... on Saturday. The bald numbers tell us that mainland banks last month made local and foreign-currency loans worth 1.48 trillion yuan (HK$1.9 trillion). That's the highest monthly lending figure ... On the other hand, if you are a glass-half-full type, you will be encouraged by Saturday's figures. The shadow market, you will note, made up a smaller proportion of total financing than in recent ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/banking-finance/article/1429144/encouraging-signs-behind-chinas-record-funding-figures
  8. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Even Hong Kong's best efforts may not help to clear our air

    Posted Feb 12th 2014, 12:46am by Tom Holland

    ... and wind in recent years. But the economy's hunger for electricity has grown so fast (see the first chart) that all that clean-energy investment has made little impact on the country's ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1426234/even-hong-kongs-best-efforts-may-not-help-clear-our-air
  9. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    'Made in America' means added pain for Hong Kong

    Posted May 02nd 2013, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... Tom Holland City could lose its regional cost advantage as cheaper fuel and fresh investment help bring the US dollar- and the HK dollar- back to life 'Made in America' means ... from its exchange rate peg to the US dollar. Since 2002, the US dollar has lost a third of its value against a basket made up of the currencies of its trading partners and competitors (see ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1227752/made-america-means-added-pain-hong-kong
  10. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    By avoiding a small crisis now China risks a big one in future

    Posted Jan 29th 2014, 05:02am by Tom Holland

    ... into low-yielding banks deposits, which would have made it difficult for China's trust companies to sell enough new products to pay out the investors in their maturing short-term notes. In turn, ... but manageable debt crisis soon; or they do not, and have a massive national debt crisis in a few years time." Unfortunately the authorities have made the wrong choice. In throwing a lifeline ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1416112/avoiding-small-crisis-now-china-risks-big-one-future

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