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  • October 21, 2014
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  1. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    George Osborne is wrong about China and the yuan

    Posted Feb 21st 2014, 12:24am by Tom Holland

    ... will decline. With the US Federal Reserve now talking about raising short-term US dollar rates- as the release on Wednesday of Fed minutes showed- the differential between yuan and international ...

  2. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    A nice idea Mr Yam, but it will be a long time before it can fly

    Posted Feb 19th 2014, 01:27am by Tom Holland

    ... threatening both asset price and consumer inflation. So to keep a grip on prices, the central bank must mop up- or sterilise, in the jargon- the floods of yuan it releases into the domestic financial ...

  3. Business - Banking & Finance - MONITOR

    The encouraging signs behind China's record funding figures

    Posted Feb 17th 2014, 04:47am by Tom Holland

    ... Tom Holland January's data in fact underscores the tightening trend on the mainland, which will help avert the danger of a full-blown crisis in future years The encouraging signs behind China's record funding figures The trouble with economic statistics is that it is all too easy to see whatever you want to in the data. Take the monetary figures released by Beijing ...

  4. Business - Economy - MONITOR

    To continue growing, China will have to work a lot smarter

    Posted Feb 07th 2014, 05:17am by Tom Holland

    ... will release a pent-up wave of productivity growth. That boost, they say, should easily offset any short-term pain caused by the elimination of excess capacity in China's over-invested heavy ...

  5. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Even an export rebound won't do much to lift China growth

    Posted Feb 13th 2014, 01:07am by Tom Holland

    ... Tom Holland As the mainland has become an economic powerhouse in recent years, foreign demand now plays a much smaller role in driving expansion Even an export rebound won't do much to lift China growth The mainland's January trade figures confounded analysts everywhere. Released yesterday, last month's exports were not only much stronger than anyone expected, ...

  6. Business - Money - MONITOR

    No need to panic over slide in stock markets

    Posted Feb 05th 2014, 05:37am by Tom Holland

    ... orders. But that doesn't really stack up. Yes, recent US economic releases have been poor, but their weakness is easily explained by America's terrible winter weather, which severely ...

  7. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Despite talk of reform, no sign of rebalancing in China's data

    Posted Jan 21st 2014, 01:05am by Tom Holland

    ... balanced model with a greater emphasis on private demand. Since then, the economy has gone on to become even more distorted. Alas, there was little in the figures released yesterday to suggest ... spending by ordinary households. And the skew is getting even more extreme. According to the data released yesterday, the mainland's fixed-asset investment grew at a nominal 19.6 per cent rate ...

  8. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    All is not what it seems when it comes to China's trade figures

    Posted Jan 09th 2014, 11:51pm by Tom Holland

    ... claim of primacy; so many, in fact, that it is hard to know where to start. When Beijing releases China’s trade figures, take them with a hefty pinch of salt First, let's ignore ... in the next few days Beijing releases China's trade figures, take them with a hefty pinch of salt. tom.holland@scmp.com ...

  9. Business - Economy - MONITOR

    Beijing sets irreconcilable economic targets for 2014

    Posted Dec 16th 2013, 04:28am by Tom Holland

    ... reform- are mutually exclusive. China can have one or the other next year, but not both. The official release did not put a number on Beijing's target for gross domestic product growth ...

  10. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Little evidence of reform so far from China's reformist leaders

    Posted Oct 21st 2013, 03:56am by Tom Holland

    ... debt ceiling, the release fuelled a modest rally in financial markets, with the Hang Seng Index rising 1 per cent on the day. But financial markets take a notoriously short-term view. Try ...




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