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  • September 2, 2014
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  1. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Chinese bank valuations imply a bad loan ratio of 13 per cent

    Posted Jan 22nd 2014, 12:44am by Tom Holland

    ... Tom Holland That's about the same figure the lenders had in 2003 before they were restructured, and a far cry from the 0.97 per cent that the banks claim Chinese bank valuations imply ... It wasn't just the mainland-listed shares. On Monday, the weighted average price-book value ratio for the 10 Chinese banks listed in Hong Kong fell to just 0.98. In other words, as an investor you ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1410657/chinese-bank-valuations-imply-bad-loan-ratio-13-cent
  2. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Chinese investors should avoid Britain's rotten egg rail project

    Posted Jan 13th 2014, 12:55am by Tom Holland

    ... Tom Holland After factoring in perceived gains and high costs against the envisaged benefits, getting on board high-speed railway may not be a good idea Chinese investors should avoid Britain's rotten egg rail project According to reports last week, Chinese state companies are eager to invest in Britain's planned HS2 high-speed railway from London to Birmingham, and beyond ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1404111/chinese-investors-should-avoid-britains-rotten-egg-rail-project
  3. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Fears over a 'tail risk' hard landing in China are growing

    Posted Feb 20th 2014, 01:10am by Tom Holland

    ... probable outcome for the Chinese economy, it remains a possibility. And the effects should China experience such a hard landing would be so severe and so widespread that the scenario, unlikely ... published yesterday, Tim Condon, the chief economist for Asia at Dutch banking giant ING, argued that just as China's rapid growth in the 2000s lifted economies across the world, so a Chinese ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1431315/fears-over-tail-risk-hard-landing-china-are-growing
  4. Business - Economy - MONITOR

    The yuan is falling, but only because Beijing wants it to

    Posted Mar 03rd 2014, 02:59am by Tom Holland

    ... emerging-market currencies now looking soft against the dollar, any further yuan appreciation will threaten severely to erode the price competitiveness of Chinese exports compared with those of other ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/economy/article/1438811/yuan-falling-only-because-beijing-wants-it
  5. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Capital base of Chinese banks not as strong as bosses claim

    Posted Aug 30th 2013, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... Tom Holland Lenders' capital-to-asset ratios do not adequately reflect exposure to off-balance sheet loans made through shadow banking channels Capital base of Chinese banks ... surprising that Chinese banks are … scrambling to raise fresh capital On closer examination, however, the drive by Agricultural Bank, as well as other smaller banks, to raise fresh capital ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1300482/capital-base-chinese-banks-not-strong-bosses-claim
  6. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    George Osborne is wrong about China and the yuan

    Posted Feb 21st 2014, 12:24am by Tom Holland

    ... from Britain," one mainlander asked Monitor at the time). Next week education minister Elizabeth Truss is due to lead a delegation to Shanghai to investigate why it is that Chinese pupils ... not reduced its current account surplus because of external pressure," Osborne gushed, "they've done it because the Chinese understand it is in their self-interest to move away from ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1432166/george-osborne-wrong-about-china-and-yuan
  7. Business - Economy - MONITOR

    Continued yuan appreciation is no longer such a sure thing

    Posted Feb 10th 2014, 04:31am by Tom Holland

    ... ought to strengthen. Many people in Hong Kong seem to agree. At the end of last year the city was sitting on a record 860 billion yuan (HK$1.1 trillion) in Chinese currency deposits. ... In the intervening years, the Chinese currency has strengthened significantly, both in nominal terms, and in real terms, which factor in inflation. As the chart shows, over the last 20 years the yuan has ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/economy/article/1424660/continued-yuan-appreciation-no-longer-such-sure-thing
  8. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    China may have problems, but this scare story isn't one of them

    Posted Feb 04th 2014, 05:57am by Tom Holland

    ... Tom Holland While alarmist talk of global meltdown sparked by a currency crisis at Chinese banks fires up doom merchants, the reality is more reassuring China may have problems, but this scare story isn't one of them As a headline, it was certainly eye-catching. "Currency crisis at Chinese banks could trigger global meltdown," declared a story in the Sunday ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1420190/china-may-have-problems-scare-story-isnt-one-them
  9. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Conspiracy theories abound about China's gold purchases

    Posted Feb 11th 2014, 01:51am by Tom Holland

    ... equivalent to 40 per cent of all the gold produced by all the mines in the world last year. Of course, most of the gold purchased by Chinese importers didn't come straight from the world's ... according to this theory, is to amass enough of the precious metal to allow it to back its currency with gold, at which point the Chinese government will attempt to launch a new global monetary ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1425591/conspiracy-theories-abound-about-chinas-gold-purchases
  10. Business - Companies - MONITOR

    Nothing uniquely Chinese about Glaxo bribery case

    Posted Aug 01st 2013, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... Tom Holland The pharmaceutical industry routinely bribes doctors in the West to get its drugs prescribed, although the practice is given a thin façade Nothing uniquely Chinese about Glaxo ... despite what the reports make out, is uniquely Chinese. When Glaxo chief executive Andrew Witty insisted last week he knew nothing about any bribe-paying by the company's staff in China, ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/companies/article/1293460/nothing-uniquely-chinese-about-glaxo-bribery-case

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