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  1. Comment - Insight & Opinion - MONITOR

    The unintended consequences of Hong Kong's property policies

    Posted Nov 29th 2013, 04:27am by Tom Holland

    ... of HK's property policies Hong Kong officials invariably mean well. But it is uncanny how often government policies end up achieving not their intended effect, but the exact opposite. Nowhere is this more true than in the property market. Just consider the housing policy announced by the first post-handover administration. In a bid to boost his popularity, then chief executive Tung Chee-hwa ...

    http://www.scmp.com/comment/insight-opinion/article/1368146/unintended-consequences-hong-kongs-property-policies
  2. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    After nine years, it's time to leave the stage

    Posted Mar 06th 2014, 12:25am by Tom Holland

    ... Chee-hwa was still the chief executive of Hong Kong's government, and the city was struggling to emerge from a six-year-long deflationary slump. Property prices were down by half from ... per cent in real terms. The property market has soared 130 per cent. The Hang Seng Index is up 63 per cent, and unemployment has fallen by half. However, the changes in Hong Kong pale beside ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1441327/after-nine-years-its-time-leave-stage
  3. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Neither Singapore nor Hong Kong is an Iceland waiting to happen

    Posted Feb 14th 2014, 12:42am by Tom Holland

    ... inflating a property bubble which pushed home prices up by a third. Bank lending to domestic and overseas borrowers ballooned, with the assets of Singapore's banks rising to S$2.1 trillion ... The government has imposed a series of administrative restrictions aimed at cooling the property market, while the Hong Kong Monetary Authority has sounded the alarm about rising levels of consumer debt ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1427348/neither-singapore-nor-hong-kong-iceland-waiting-happen
  4. Business - Property - MONITOR

    Contradictory figures fuelling China property bubble debate

    Posted Sep 25th 2013, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... Tom Holland To settle this argument we need to know how much housing was built since 1995. Sadly, the official numbers are all over the map Contradictory figures fuelling China property bubble debate Chatter about a bubble in China's property market has risen to deafening volumes lately. Since the authorities released numbers last week showing that home prices in major ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1317042/contradictory-figures-fuelling-china-property-bubble-debate
  5. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Shanghai free zone smells like it's just another property deal

    Posted Sep 16th 2013, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... smells like it's just another property deal The American critic HL Mencken famously said that "a cynic is a man who, when he smells flowers, looks around for a coffin". ... always looks around for a property deal. That's why it is difficult either to get excited about Shenzhen's Qianhai area and Shanghai's new special zone, or to get worried about ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1310491/shanghai-free-zone-smells-its-just-another-property-deal
  6. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Hong Kong government must change the way it taxes property

    Posted Aug 15th 2013, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... Tom Holland The lump-sum land-premium system should be replaced with a scheme whereby rental income is collected from leaseholders Government must change the way it taxes property In his ... The government should [be] collecting revenue over the whole lifetime of property projects Tsang quickly ruled out plugging the gap by drawing down the government's accumulated reserves, which ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1296772/hong-kong-government-must-change-way-it-taxes-property
  7. Business - Economy - MONITOR

    CY's policies will exacerbate city's coming down-cycle

    Posted Jan 16th 2014, 02:36am by Tom Holland

    ... That's unnecessary. The Basic Law requires Hong Kong's government to "strive to achieve a fiscal balance". Most analysts interpret that to mean a fiscal balance over the economic ... to try "to increase revenue", which would only dampen economic activity in the private sector. Equally worrying, at least for property owners, is CY's determination to embark ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/economy/article/1406425/cys-policies-will-exacerbate-citys-coming-down-cycle
  8. Comment - Insight & Opinion - MONITOR

    A property slump will affect the whole of Hong Kong's economy

    Posted Jul 18th 2013, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... Tom Holland A property slump will affect the whole of HK's economy Last week Monitor argued that the gradual tapering of quantitative easing and the eventual increase in American interest rates that will follow are likely to trigger a slump in Hong Kong property prices of 30 per cent or more. That might sound like a good thing. Lots of families would like to buy. ...

    http://www.scmp.com/comment/insight-opinion/article/1284926/property-slump-will-affect-whole-hong-kongs-economy
  9. Business - Companies - MONITOR

    ParknShop merger will prove Hong Kong's competition law is a joke

    Posted Aug 23rd 2013, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... competition law is a joke Anywhere else in the world, regulatory alarm bells would be clanging at ear-splitting volume. Not in Hong Kong. Earlier this week, mainland grocery giant China Resources ... the new competition law passed in June last year, then you are going to be sadly disillusioned. If Li gives the China Resources bid his nod, our newly appointed competition commissioners will let ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/companies/article/1298710/parknshop-merger-will-prove-hong-kongs-competition-law-joke
  10. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Hong Kong's stamp duties are woefully inefficient ways to tax

    Posted Oct 22nd 2013, 03:27am by Tom Holland

    ... property transactions have actually fallen as a result of the government's rate increases. So, sorry, Jake, if it's a matter of raising revenue to pay for the rule of law in Hong Kong, ... Tom Holland The argument that revenue raised from taxing share transactions is a pay cheque for Hongkongers for keeping the rule of law is short-sighted HK's stamp duty is a woefully ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1336792/hong-kongs-stamp-duties-are-woefully-inefficient-ways-tax

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