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  • April 20, 2014
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  1. Comment - Insight & Opinion - MONITOR

    The unintended consequences of Hong Kong's property policies

    Posted Nov 29th 2013, 04:27am by Tom Holland

    ... is this more true than in the property market. Just consider the housing policy announced by the first post-handover administration. In a bid to boost his popularity, then chief executive Tung Chee-hwa ... Recent government efforts to rein in the property bull market and make homes more affordable have proved similarly counterproductive. When the government attempted in October last year to stamp ...

  2. Business - Property - MONITOR

    Contradictory figures fuelling China property bubble debate

    Posted Sep 25th 2013, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... bubble debate Chatter about a bubble in China's property market has risen to deafening volumes lately. Since the authorities released numbers last week showing that home prices in major cities climbed 15 per cent or more over the 12 months to August, a whole tribe of bears has emerged from the woods to warn that the Chinese property market is being propelled by an unsustainable ...

  3. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    After nine years, it's time to leave the stage

    Posted Mar 06th 2014, 12:25am by Tom Holland

    ... per cent in real terms. The property market has soared 130 per cent. The Hang Seng Index is up 63 per cent, and unemployment has fallen by half. However, the changes in Hong Kong pale beside ... Chee-hwa was still the chief executive of Hong Kong's government, and the city was struggling to emerge from a six-year-long deflationary slump. Property prices were down by half from ...

  4. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Investors' fears of fiscal tightening by Beijing are over-blown

    Posted Feb 22nd 2013, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... are overdone All it took was a warning from Beijing that the mainland's local governments should keep a tight rein on property market speculation, coupled with a move from the central bank ... property holdings to the taxman. At the same time, the central bank's move this week to withdraw around 900 billion yuan (HK$1.11 trillion) of liquidity from the mainland's money markets ...

  5. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    50pc property slump would see 57,000 in negative equity

    Posted Feb 06th 2013, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... was close to a record high relative to the city's gross domestic product, and warned that "the overheating property market" is the biggest single threat to Hong Kong's economy. ... elevated property market really poses to the city's banking system. The US Federal Reserve has hinted strongly that it is not going to raise interest rates for another 2 1/2 years. But even ...

  6. Comment - Insight & Opinion - MONITOR

    A property slump will affect the whole of Hong Kong's economy

    Posted Jul 18th 2013, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... But with the minimum down-payment on a typical Hong Kong flat now equal to four years of median household income, many have been priced out of the market. To them, forecasts of a property slump are welcome. But property prices do not fluctuate in isolation. In a city where the property market contributes a fifth of our gross domestic product, a big fall in prices will inevitably affect activity in all ...

  7. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Shanghai free zone smells like it's just another property deal

    Posted Sep 16th 2013, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... smells like it's just another property deal The American critic HL Mencken famously said that "a cynic is a man who, when he smells flowers, looks around for a coffin". ... always looks around for a property deal. That's why it is difficult either to get excited about Shenzhen's Qianhai area and Shanghai's new special zone, or to get worried about ...

  8. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Hong Kong government must change the way it taxes property

    Posted Aug 15th 2013, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... money from Hong Kong's property market. Last year, the government raised HK$85 billion, a fifth of its total revenues, from property sales and land premium payments, the fees developers pay ... There are several ways it could do this. One suggestion is for the government to turn to a property value tax, which would be set as a percentage of current market value, to be paid annually by property ...

  9. Business - Money - MONITOR

    No need to panic over slide in stock markets

    Posted Feb 05th 2014, 05:37am by Tom Holland

    ... in stock markets The Year of the Horse is off to a skittish start. Yesterday, Hong Kong's benchmark Hang Seng Index slumped by 2.9 per cent, its biggest fall in more than a year. The Hang Seng wasn't alone. Markets across Asia tumbled, following Monday's 2.3 per cent slide on Wall Street and extending the emerging markets rout of last week. Once again analysts are talking about ...

  10. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    It's not heresy to expect grand projects to pay for themselves

    Posted Feb 28th 2014, 01:01am by Tom Holland

    ... Tom Holland The capital market provides a ready solution, and the extra scrutiny that comes with bond issues might just spare us some white elephants It's not heresy to expect grand ... the funds for badly needed infrastructure projects like the third runway. The answer is the capital market. With the backing of the Hong Kong government, future projects would be able to borrow ...




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