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Results 1 - 10 of 20 for property outlook 2013

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  1. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    How to make two problems worse with just one policy

    Posted Feb 25th 2013, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... Tom Holland Higher taxes for homebuyers will merely make property prices even more unaffordable, while adding to the government's unused cash pile How to make two problems worse ... government has money coming out of its ears. First: the property market. Home prices have doubled in the last four years. As a result, a typical Hong Kong family would have to save every cent ...

  2. HK's economic outlook gets ugly as trade begins to slow

    Posted Sep 26th 2008, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... cautious too and are increasingly shunning the property market. That's surprising when you consider mortgage rates are actually negative once you adjust for inflation. Nevertheless, the number ... be the start. The Centa-City leading index of residential property prices has dropped by 3 per cent in the past month alone and analysts at brokerage house CLSA warn that home prices could slide another ...

  3. Seeing through China's new property bubble

    Posted Aug 07th 2009, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... Standard & Poor's has lifted its negative outlook on the property development sector, citing improved operating conditions. And mainland developers, some of which were on the very brink ... with Tom Holland We've heard a lot in the past few days about how a speculative bubble is inflating in the mainland property market. Among the worried is the mayor of Shanghai. ...

  4. No recovery in sight yet for China property developers

    Posted Mar 24th 2009, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... The outlook is scarcely any brighter in the commercial property market. China's pre-Olympic construction bubble has left both office and retail markets facing vast oversupply. According to Zhang ... with Tom Holland Among the big beneficiaries of this month's rally in stock prices have been the Hong Kong-listed shares of mainland property developers. In some cases the returns ...

  5. Frosty new predictions from an old permabear

    Posted Aug 31st 2009, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... the low-risk merits of accumulators, and economists' outlooks arguing there was no need for Asians to worry about a decline in the United States property market; the region had decoupled. Not all the documents we disinterred proved so abysmally wrong. Especially prescient was a 2007 report from the analysts' team at Lehman Brothers, whose cover declared 'Outlook 2008: Crunch ...

  6. The whole world may be in danger of turning Japanese

    Posted Oct 06th 2009, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... hitting 9 per cent, the same rate as last year, the IMF believes. Most private-sector analysts share the IMF's rosy short-term outlook. Economists at Goldman Sachs, for example, ... property market (see the second chart), which promises to boost consumer demand, he frets that it is doing nothing to rebalance the Chinese economy. 'There is a strong short-term recovery ...

  7. No big deal if mainland growth drops below 8pc

    Posted Nov 05th 2008, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... protest, threatening the very legitimacy of the Chinese Communist Party. That wisdom could soon be tested. As the outlook for the global economy has darkened, threatening China's export industries, the domestic property market has entered a cyclical downturn, suppressing demand growth. In response, economists are racing to revise downward their growth forecasts for next year. ...

  8. Nothing surprising in the depth of HK's slump

    Posted May 18th 2009, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... contribution, Hong Kong's economy rests on four main pillars: trade, financial services, consumer spending and the property market. All four have been looking shaky for a long while now. Trade, ... is down, too. With unemployment rising and the outlook uncertain, shoppers have cut back. In volume terms, March retail sales were down 9.3 per cent from the year before. While sales ...

  9. Excessive optimism the biggest mistake of 2008

    Posted Dec 19th 2008, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... of it wrong. But although I've been criticised by some readers for being too pessimistic, my biggest mistake of the year was being too positive on Hong Kong's outlook. On December 31 last ... Kong stocks and properties could inflate into a full-blown bubble next year.' The reasoning was simple. With inflation rising and interest rates negative in real terms, I reasoned savers ...

  10. HK stocks good value, but not yet great value

    Posted Oct 02nd 2008, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... With China's exports to the US already deteriorating, and exports to Europe supported only by an overvalued euro, the outlook for Hong Kong's trade services sector is increasingly bleak. Prospects for Hong Kong's two core domestic sectors- banks and property- are also grim. With the global financial sector facing a long period of deleveraging and contraction, local banks ...




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