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  1. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Tsang's vision of Hong Kong's future is severely out of focus

    Posted Feb 27th 2014, 01:23am by Tom Holland

    ... Extending the MTR rail network is a reasonable idea, and major upgrades to our water supply system are long overdue. But there is no need for the sort of vastly expensive "mega-projects" ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1435878/tsangs-vision-hong-kongs-future-severely-out-focus
  2. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    It's not heresy to expect grand projects to pay for themselves

    Posted Feb 28th 2014, 01:01am by Tom Holland

    ... which I'm told is little more than a very expensive shopping mall (I confess, I've never been there myself)- then paying HK$100 to get into Hong Kong would represent excellent value. ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1436598/its-not-heresy-expect-grand-projects-pay-themselves
  3. Business - Economy - MONITOR

    Immigration and reclamation won't raise living standards

    Posted Feb 18th 2014, 04:34am by Tom Holland

    ... of US$24,000 a year each, while Singaporeans can manage only US$21,000. Actually, I'd argue that Jake exaggerated Singapore's household spending. Believe it or not, stuff is more expensive ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/economy/article/1429854/immigration-and-reclamation-wont-raise-living-standards
  4. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Just enforcing the rules could end Hong Kong's housing 'shortage'

    Posted Oct 31st 2013, 02:52am by Tom Holland

    ... has about 2.6 million homes. Most of those- 56 per cent- are privately owned. Some 29 per cent are public rental flats, and the remaining 15 per cent have been sold through ... rental flat. All are breaking the rules. Unfortunately, it's impossible to say how many of these illicit tenants there might be. But anecdotes of public housing tenants exploiting ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1343953/just-enforcing-rules-could-end-hong-kongs-housing-shortage
  5. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Simple-minded to expect Hong Kong home prices to fall? Not at all

    Posted Jan 07th 2014, 01:43am by Tom Holland

    ... the Hong Kong market delivered on both fronts. Not only did prices double, but the rental yield on a typical 700 square foot flat exceeded the "risk free" yield on 10-year US Treasury ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1399278/simple-minded-expect-hong-kong-home-prices-fall-not-all
  6. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    To think clearly, our officials should stand on their heads

    Posted Jan 20th 2014, 12:15am by Tom Holland

    ... shouldn't use one-off revenue to pay for recurrent expenses," he argued. "It's not going to be sustainable." The problem as the government sees it is that capital revenues from ... in order to fund ever more expensive and unnecessary capital projects. Instead, the sensible answer would be to convert volatile one-off gains from land sales into regular and predictable cash ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1409195/think-clearly-our-officials-should-stand-their-heads
  7. Business - Money - MONITOR

    No need to panic over slide in stock markets

    Posted Feb 05th 2014, 05:37am by Tom Holland

    ... 2014 looking distinctly pricey. On a price-earnings ratio of 17.4 at the beginning of January, the S&P was only a whisker less expensive than in August 2008, immediately before the US ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/money/markets-investing/article/1420956/no-need-panic-over-slide-stock-markets
  8. Business - Economy - MONITOR

    CY's policies will exacerbate city's coming down-cycle

    Posted Jan 16th 2014, 02:36am by Tom Holland

    ... within the limits of revenue. It requires us not only to control expenses, but also to increase revenue." When politicians talk about increasing revenue, they generally mean raising taxes. ... pushing Hong Kong mortgage rates higher. That combination of an increased supply of housing together with more expensive home loans will inflict a double blow on the city's property market, ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/economy/article/1406425/cys-policies-will-exacerbate-citys-coming-down-cycle
  9. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Beijing's financial reforms will push up interest rates

    Posted Jan 16th 2014, 11:41pm by Tom Holland

    ... expensive. How far rates will rise is uncertain. Traditionally, analysts have always reckoned that the "natural" interest rate for any economy should be close to its real growth rate plus ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1407148/beijings-financial-reforms-will-push-interest-rates
  10. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Chinese investors should avoid Britain's rotten egg rail project

    Posted Jan 13th 2014, 12:55am by Tom Holland

    ... Unfortunately, there are a few problems with its methodology. First there is the cost side of the equation. Research by the World Bank suggests that officials typically understate the expense of big rail ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1404111/chinese-investors-should-avoid-britains-rotten-egg-rail-project

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