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  • July 13, 2014
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  1. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Fiscal report based on lunatic projection of capital spending

    Posted Mar 04th 2014, 05:09am by Tom Holland

    ... projection of capital spending Yesterday the government's working group on long-term fiscal planning published its report. The committee's 290-page document contained much ... scenario. However, dig a little deeper and the picture doesn't look nearly as frightening as the government's working group has tried to paint it. For a start, far from projecting ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1439605/fiscal-report-based-lunatic-projection-capital-spending
  2. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    It's not heresy to expect grand projects to pay for themselves

    Posted Feb 28th 2014, 01:01am by Tom Holland

    ... projects to pay for themselves Thank you to the readers who wrote in to comment on yesterday's Monitor, which suggested that Hong Kong's fiscal problems, outlined in Wednesday's ... to portray. With the backing of the government, future projects would be able to borrow cheaply Take Hong Kong's budget. In Wednesday's speech financial secretary John Tsang warned ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1436598/its-not-heresy-expect-grand-projects-pay-themselves
  3. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Chinese investors should avoid Britain's rotten egg rail project

    Posted Jan 13th 2014, 12:55am by Tom Holland

    ... Britain's rotten egg rail project According to reports last week, Chinese state companies are eager to invest in Britain's planned HS2 high-speed railway from London to Birmingham, and beyond ... compound that gives rotten eggs their characteristic foul stink. Enthusiasts for the project rightly point out that Britain's existing rail network, built in the first half of the 19th ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1404111/chinese-investors-should-avoid-britains-rotten-egg-rail-project
  4. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Tsang's vision of Hong Kong's future is severely out of focus

    Posted Feb 27th 2014, 01:23am by Tom Holland

    ... Tom Holland Instead of building mega-projects that serve no purpose, the government should spend money where it is needed: education, health and welfare Tsang's vision of Hong ... capita spending at present levels, then demographic trends would still push public finances into a long-term deficit within 15 years. These ominous projections were produced by Tsang's pet ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1435878/tsangs-vision-hong-kongs-future-severely-out-focus
  5. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    We don't need a Future Fund. The future is already upon us

    Posted Mar 05th 2014, 01:34am by Tom Holland

    ... Tom Holland HK government should make better use of its existing resources and assets to meet the spending needs arising from an ageing population We don't need a Future Fund. The future is already upon us The government's warnings that Hong Kong is heading for a fiscal crisis of Greek proportions are ludicrous. As Monitor pointed out yesterday, new projections ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1440476/we-dont-need-future-fund-future-already-upon-us
  6. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    With fewer grand projects, Hong Kong can afford its health care bills

    Posted Sep 02nd 2013, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... projects, HK can afford its health care bills In his Sunday Morning Post column yesterday, Jake van der Kamp called for a pin. He is not, so far as I know, going into business as an acupuncturist. ... on the police. And as the second chart shows, it's 30 per cent less than it is splashing out on infrastructure projects. But with an ageing population, Hong Kong won't need so much new ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1301355/fewer-grand-projects-hong-kong-can-afford-its-health-care-bills
  7. Business - Economy - MONITOR

    Immigration and reclamation won't raise living standards

    Posted Feb 18th 2014, 04:34am by Tom Holland

    ... reclamation projects. In contrast, Hong Kong is suffering dire shortages of both labour and land, Tsang argued; shortages which threaten severely to handicap the city's future economic growth. ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/economy/article/1429854/immigration-and-reclamation-wont-raise-living-standards
  8. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Even Hong Kong's best efforts may not help to clear our air

    Posted Feb 12th 2014, 12:46am by Tom Holland

    ... hydroelectric stations, including the giant Three Gorges project, and 80 per cent the old-fashioned way by burning coal. It is true that Beijing has invested heavily in clean-energy sources like solar ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1426234/even-hong-kongs-best-efforts-may-not-help-clear-our-air
  9. Business - Economy - MONITOR

    To continue growing, China will have to work a lot smarter

    Posted Feb 07th 2014, 05:17am by Tom Holland

    ... for slower investment. Not everyone agrees that TFP growth can pick up the slack, however. One projection by the Asian Development Bank sees TFP growth not accelerating, but slowing to just 1.7 per ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/economy/article/1422434/continue-growing-china-will-have-work-lot-smarter
  10. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    To think clearly, our officials should stand on their heads

    Posted Jan 20th 2014, 12:15am by Tom Holland

    ... land sales and land premium payments are volatile. Therefore they are unsuitable for funding operational spending, and must be set aside and used only for capital projects, such as the new ... in order to fund ever more expensive and unnecessary capital projects. Instead, the sensible answer would be to convert volatile one-off gains from land sales into regular and predictable cash ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1409195/think-clearly-our-officials-should-stand-their-heads

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