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  1. Business - Property - MONITOR

    Contradictory figures fuelling China property bubble debate

    Posted Sep 25th 2013, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... Tom Holland To settle this argument we need to know how much housing was built since 1995. Sadly, the official numbers are all over the map Contradictory figures fuelling China property bubble debate Chatter about a bubble in China's property market has risen to deafening volumes lately. Since the authorities released numbers last week showing that home prices in major ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1317042/contradictory-figures-fuelling-china-property-bubble-debate
  2. Comment - Insight & Opinion - MONITOR

    A property slump will affect the whole of Hong Kong's economy

    Posted Jul 18th 2013, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... other sectors of Hong Kong's domestic economy. First of all, a property bear market will erode consumer demand. With residential mortgage debt currently standing at 46 per cent of Hong ... Tom Holland A property slump will affect the whole of HK's economy Last week Monitor argued that the gradual tapering of quantitative easing and the eventual increase in American ...

    http://www.scmp.com/comment/insight-opinion/article/1284926/property-slump-will-affect-whole-hong-kongs-economy
  3. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Declining property investment the key to China's slowdown

    Posted Sep 14th 2012, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... to find the cause of the recent slowdown, we'll have to search elsewhere. One obvious thing to look at is residential property investment. Back in early 2010 Beijing introduced a suite ... the year-on-year growth rate of investment in residential property had fallen to just 5 per cent, down from 38 per cent a year earlier. The decline mattered. Independent research house Capital Economics ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1036300/declining-property-investment-key-chinas-slowdown
  4. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Excluding mainlanders won't allay main property grievance

    Posted Oct 29th 2012, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... 15 per cent stamp duty on top of the standard rate; 20 per cent if he or she sells within six months. Secondly, all individual buyers of residential properties who are not Hong Kong permanent ... property grievance On Friday evening Financial Secretary John Tsang Chun-wah announced two new punitive property tax measures aimed at "maintaining a healthy, stable property market". ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1072030/excluding-mainlanders-wont-allay-main-property-grievance
  5. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Hopes for affordable homes in Hong Kong sure to be dashed

    Posted Apr 23rd 2013, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... 2.75 per cent to 3 per cent. You can already see the impact in the market. The number of residential property transactions plunged in March, falling 60 per cent compared with the same month ... Tom Holland A recent pause in the relentless upward march of property prices will be short-lived without major reforms to land policy and the US dollar peg Hopes for affordable homes in HK ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1220934/hopes-affordable-homes-hong-kong-sure-be-dashed
  6. Comment - Insight & Opinion - MONITOR

    The unintended consequences of Hong Kong's property policies

    Posted Nov 29th 2013, 04:27am by Tom Holland

    ... of HK's property policies Hong Kong officials invariably mean well. But it is uncanny how often government policies end up achieving not their intended effect, but the exact opposite. Nowhere is this more true than in the property market. Just consider the housing policy announced by the first post-handover administration. In a bid to boost his popularity, then chief executive Tung Chee-hwa ...

    http://www.scmp.com/comment/insight-opinion/article/1368146/unintended-consequences-hong-kongs-property-policies
  7. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    US economic recovery could spell disaster for Hong Kong

    Posted Apr 30th 2013, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... Tom Holland City's property market would suffer a huge blow from higher American interest rates, which are likely to result if the US recovery progresses US economic recovery could ... on how you see the local property market. Back in late 2008, when the Fed started its first round of quantitative easing, money began pouring into Hong Kong's financial system. To get ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1226208/us-economic-recovery-could-spell-disaster-hong-kong
  8. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    New step may not help banks but it does hurt homebuyers

    Posted Mar 15th 2013, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... the Hong Kong Monetary Authority last month ordered them to increase the amount of capital they hold against new residential mortgages to at least 15 per cent of the loans' value. Considering ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1190953/new-step-may-not-help-banks-it-does-hurt-homebuyers
  9. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    'Strange and worrying' that Hong Kong government doesn't get it

    Posted Oct 16th 2012, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... Tom Holland For any confused officials, here's a quick rundown on the critical factors propelling the city's residential property prices up into the stratosphere 'Strange ... the city's residential property market? Evidently it is. So, for all those government officials confounded by the market's buoyancy, here's a brief primer on why Hong Kong home prices ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1061952/strange-and-worrying-hong-kong-government-doesnt-get-it
  10. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    When the slump finally comes, home prices could fall by half

    Posted Jan 21st 2013, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... residential mortgages and overall property loans are slightly below their 10-year average relative to total Hong Kong dollar loans, and both are falling as a proportion of overall bank lending. ... Tom Holland Putting a fair value on housing is no easy task but there are some worrying property numbers in terms of average real interest rates When the slump finally comes, home prices ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1132551/when-slump-finally-comes-home-prices-could-fall-half

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