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  1. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Asia is steaming towards a debt crisis all of its own

    Posted Oct 24th 2013, 02:59am by Tom Holland

    ... Tom Holland With the level of private sector debt hitting new highs in China, South Korea and Thailand, there is no room for complacency Asia is steaming towards a debt crisis all of its own For the past five years Asia's leaders have congratulated themselves on their prudence and good judgment in avoiding the credit crisis which struck much of the developed world ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1338244/asia-steaming-towards-debt-crisis-all-its-own
  2. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Asia can relax; there is small chance of a US debt default

    Posted Oct 09th 2013, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... Tom Holland Washington will have no problem repaying its loans, given the tax revenues it will be getting and its ability to roll over maturing debt Asia can relax; there is small chance of a US debt default In these divided days, it might seem that nothing can bring the leaders of China and Japan together. But American politicians have achieved the near-impossible. ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1327433/asia-can-relax-there-small-chance-us-debt-default
  3. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Fears over a 'tail risk' hard landing in China are growing

    Posted Feb 20th 2014, 01:10am by Tom Holland

    ... though it may be, merits careful examination. While Beijing is keen to play down the risks, analysts are … increasingly concerned Asia's private sector analysts clearly think so. In a report published yesterday, Tim Condon, the chief economist for Asia at Dutch banking giant ING, argued that just as China's rapid growth in the 2000s lifted economies across the world, so a Chinese ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1431315/fears-over-tail-risk-hard-landing-china-are-growing
  4. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Neither Singapore nor Hong Kong is an Iceland waiting to happen

    Posted Feb 14th 2014, 12:42am by Tom Holland

    ... economic and monetary boom across much of Asia. In just five years from 2002 to 2007, Iceland’s bank assets ballooned more than tenfold In Singapore interest rates fell to within a whisker of zero, ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1427348/neither-singapore-nor-hong-kong-iceland-waiting-happen
  5. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    To boost business, WTO must ditch 'all or nothing' approach

    Posted Dec 12th 2013, 03:12am by Tom Holland

    ... of them in East Asia, and to add US$960 billion to the world's economic output. That equals 1.3 per cent of last year's global gross domestic product; a gain that is certainly ... Union, which can devote huge resources to securing advantageous deals, and away from poorer countries. Third, they add greatly to the complexity of the global trade system. The result ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1378473/boost-business-wto-must-ditch-all-or-nothing-approach
  6. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Even an export rebound won't do much to lift China growth

    Posted Feb 13th 2014, 01:07am by Tom Holland

    ... as quickly as they did in the years running up to 2007. On top of that, as Goldman Sachs chief Asia economist Andrew Tilton explains, mainland exporters are no longer gaining market share. Much ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1426699/even-export-rebound-wont-do-much-lift-china-growth
  7. Business - Money - MONITOR

    No need to panic over slide in stock markets

    Posted Feb 05th 2014, 05:37am by Tom Holland

    ... wasn't alone. Markets across Asia tumbled, following Monday's 2.3 per cent slide on Wall Street and extending the emerging markets rout of last week. Once again analysts are talking about ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/money/markets-investing/article/1420956/no-need-panic-over-slide-stock-markets
  8. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    China may have problems, but this scare story isn't one of them

    Posted Feb 04th 2014, 05:57am by Tom Holland

    ... was catastrophic. The rupiah crashed 85 per cent in value in just six months in a full-blown currency crisis that remains seared into the mindsets of policymakers across Asia. In 2014, China has ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1420190/china-may-have-problems-scare-story-isnt-one-them
  9. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    No, it's not 1997, but Asia is still exposed to nasty risks

    Posted Jun 26th 2013, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... Tom Holland Some reckon there are enough parallels between financial conditions now and just before the Asian financial crisis to warrant serious concern No, it's not 1997, but Asia ... when a local financial crunch in Bangkok went regional, triggering Asia's catastrophic currency crisis. That might seem a distant memory, but there are enough parallels between financial ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1268917/no-its-not-1997-asia-still-exposed-nasty-risks
  10. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Chinese bank valuations imply a bad loan ratio of 13 per cent

    Posted Jan 22nd 2014, 12:44am by Tom Holland

    ... for their bad loans, which is about what was recovered on Southeast Asia's non-performing loans after the currency crisis of the 1990s. That would leave us with bad loans worth a total of 7.4 ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1410657/chinese-bank-valuations-imply-bad-loan-ratio-13-cent

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