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  • July 29, 2014
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  1. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Beijing is only treating the symptoms, not their cause

    Posted Apr 01st 2013, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... of sales among homeowners anxious to book their profits before the new tax came into effect. But in the longer term, a 20 per cent capital gains tax will do nothing to deter speculative buyers. ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1204293/beijing-only-treating-symptoms-not-their-cause
  2. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Excluding non-locals from flat sales could easily backfire

    Posted Sep 12th 2012, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... Tom Holland Move threatens to bring a triple-whammy to muddy eventual downturn, turning what would have been a healthy correction into a rout Excluding non-locals from flat sales could ... research Nicole Wong and her colleagues note that between 2004 and 2009, land sales in the city declined by 70 per cent. Allowing a two-year time lag for development, they go on to point out ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1034527/excluding-non-locals-flat-sales-could-easily-backfire
  3. Business - China Business - MONITOR

    China's insolvent toxic-waste dump Cinda for sale

    Posted Aug 19th 2013, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... Tom Holland Let's wait and see the prospectuses, but investors would be wise to think carefully before buying in to the IPOs of China's asset management firms For sale: insolvent toxic-waste dumps At some point in the next few months, China Cinda Asset Management is likely to list on the Hong Kong stock exchange, in a mega deal that could raise HK$20 billion or more. ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/china-business/article/1297653/chinas-insolvent-toxic-waste-dump-cinda-sale
  4. Business - Companies - MONITOR

    ParknShop sale looks a solid deal for Hutch shareholders

    Posted Jul 23rd 2013, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... Ka-shing over the years, only for him scorn us like this. Reports that Li-controlled conglomerate Hutchison Whampoa is pondering the sale of its ParknShop supermarket chain triggered howls of media ... a sizable share of a market that is both fast-growing and highly lucrative, yet remains deeply fragmented. A ParknShop sale wouldn't mean Li Ka-shing is turning his back on Hong Kong. ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/companies/article/1288721/parknshop-sale-looks-solid-deal-hutch-shareholders
  5. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    We don't need a Future Fund. The future is already upon us

    Posted Mar 05th 2014, 01:34am by Tom Holland

    ... of these could, and probably should, be privatised. But the advisers frown on the idea of asset sales, declaring "the one-off revenue from asset disposals could not resolve a structural deficit ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1440476/we-dont-need-future-fund-future-already-upon-us
  6. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Tsang's vision of Hong Kong's future is severely out of focus

    Posted Feb 27th 2014, 01:23am by Tom Holland

    ... To fund all that building, the government ring-fenced its income from land sales and lease modifications and earmarked it for spending only on capital works projects. The idea was a roaring ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1435878/tsangs-vision-hong-kongs-future-severely-out-focus
  7. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    It's not heresy to expect grand projects to pay for themselves

    Posted Feb 28th 2014, 01:01am by Tom Holland

    ... the problem by applying the new rules only to future land sales and lease modifications, the income stream generated would be far too small to fill its revenue hole. True enough; but the government ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1436598/its-not-heresy-expect-grand-projects-pay-themselves
  8. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Fears over a 'tail risk' hard landing in China are growing

    Posted Feb 20th 2014, 01:10am by Tom Holland

    ... slowdown. Mainland visitors account for 30 per cent of the city's retail sales, they noted, while exposure to China makes up almost 20 per cent of the local banking system's assets. ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1431315/fears-over-tail-risk-hard-landing-china-are-growing
  9. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Despite talk of reform, no sign of rebalancing in China's data

    Posted Jan 21st 2014, 01:05am by Tom Holland

    ... At the same time, retail sales grew 13.1 per cent in nominal terms. Adjusting for consumer inflation, that gives a real increase of a little over 10 per cent. Admittedly, a headline figure for fixed-asset investment is not a great proxy for the fixed-investment component of GDP. For one thing it includes land sales, which shouldn't count towards capital formation. Similarly, retail ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1409909/despite-talk-reform-no-sign-rebalancing-chinas-data
  10. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    To think clearly, our officials should stand on their heads

    Posted Jan 20th 2014, 12:15am by Tom Holland

    ... advisers said that the government's lump sum revenues from land sales should be firmly ring-fenced, otherwise they might be frittered away on the city's everyday spending. "We ... land sales and land premium payments are volatile. Therefore they are unsuitable for funding operational spending, and must be set aside and used only for capital projects, such as the new ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1409195/think-clearly-our-officials-should-stand-their-heads

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