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  • September 16, 2014
  • Last updated: 12:31pm
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  1. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Cypriot-style bank crisis could hit Hong Kong too

    Posted Apr 02nd 2013, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... over 70 per cent of GDP in 2006 to 90 per cent last year. That's not the only danger. Over the last few years Hong Kong bank lending to the mainland has jumped, with loans for use outside ... Tom Holland The troubled Mediterranean island is half a world away but financial conditions there bear some eerie similarities to those over here Cypriot-style bank crisis could hit Hong ...

  2. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Neither Singapore nor Hong Kong is an Iceland waiting to happen

    Posted Feb 14th 2014, 12:42am by Tom Holland

    ... size of bank assets. And the growth of Hong Kong banks' assets has been gradual compared with the speed Icelandic banks blew out their balance sheets. In just five years from 2002 to 2007, Iceland's bank assets ballooned more than tenfold. In contrast, in the five years since the financial crisis, Hong Kong bank assets have expanded just 60 per cent. So unlike the Icelanders, ...

  3. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    No 'taper tantrum' this time, but Hong Kong can't be complacent

    Posted Dec 20th 2013, 01:07am by Tom Holland

    ... In Hong Kong, the benchmark Hang Seng Index fell 16 per cent in just four weeks. The sell-off proved short-lived. When it became clear that tapering was not imminent, the panic blew over ... to the US dollar, the Fed's quantitative easing has had an enormous impact on local monetary conditions. Since the US credit crisis first began, Hong Kong's monetary base has ballooned ...

  4. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Asia is steaming towards a debt crisis all of its own

    Posted Oct 24th 2013, 02:59am by Tom Holland

    ... to Shearing's analysis, over the past 10 years debt growth has passed the hazard threshold in four East Asian markets- Hong Kong, mainland China, Thailand and Singapore- with Korea on the cusp ... to get that bad, at least in Hong Kong. Even at the worst of the Asian crisis overdue and rescheduled loans never exceeded 9 per cent of the total, a level which if it recurred would still leave ...

  5. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Tsang's vision of Hong Kong's future is severely out of focus

    Posted Feb 27th 2014, 01:23am by Tom Holland

    ... success, and today Hong Kong's physical infrastructure is rated among the best in the world. However, over the last 30 years our priorities have changed. All those youngsters who entered ... Kong's future is severely out of focus In his budget speech yesterday, John Tsang Chun-wah did his best to scare us. If Hong Kong continues on its current trajectory, steadily improving ...

  6. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Even Hong Kong's best efforts may not help to clear our air

    Posted Feb 12th 2014, 12:46am by Tom Holland

    ... in the city's air quality over the next five years. Yesterday, she pledged to get the very worst-polluting buses and trucks- those that do the most harm to our health- off Hong Kong's streets in the next two years. She also plans to push through legislation forcing ships using Hong Kong's port to switch from burning dirty bunker oil to cleaner, less polluting fuels. Loh's aims ...

  7. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Yuan rise a zero-sum game which Hong Kong is losing

    Posted Sep 06th 2013, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... market, their gains do have important implications for Hong Kong. For the past few years, eager bank executives have told us that yuan internationalisation and the development of Shanghai's ... which Hong Kong is losing After all the hype about the yuan's unstoppable advance, we finally have a reliable snapshot of how widely the Chinese currency is being traded in international ...

  8. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    With fewer grand projects, Hong Kong can afford its health care bills

    Posted Sep 02nd 2013, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... about is highly doubtful. Yes, it is true that according to government forecasts, the proportion of those aged 65 and over in Hong Kong's population is set to double from around 13.5 per ... health care bill will almost double in real terms by 2020. But that doesn't mean Hong Kong will be facing a fiscal crisis. For one thing, the government currently pays only 46 per cent ...

  9. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Hong Kong's wealth fund is doing a lousy job investing our money

    Posted Jan 24th 2014, 02:13am by Tom Holland

    ... that consumer inflation in Hong Kong last year was 4.3 per cent, that's really not very impressive. In real terms the Exchange Fund's return was negative. This money could, and should, ... is doing a lousy job investing our money You may not know about it, but Hong Kong has a sovereign wealth fund. It's called the Exchange Fund. It manages assets of HK$3 trillion, and its ...

  10. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Fears over a 'tail risk' hard landing in China are growing

    Posted Feb 20th 2014, 01:10am by Tom Holland

    ... Tom Holland Any slump in the mainland economy will inevitably cause casualties including Hong Kong because of the banking sector’s exposure Fears over a 'tail risk' hard landing ... for a crisis or two in emerging markets," he warned. Also this week, economist Wang Tao and her colleagues at Swiss bank UBS pointed out that Hong Kong is particularly vulnerable to a Chinese ...




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