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  • September 18, 2014
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  1. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    All is not what it seems when it comes to China's trade figures

    Posted Jan 09th 2014, 11:51pm by Tom Holland

    ... Tom Holland If double-counting in transshipments and over-invoicing are stripped out of the calculations, US remains a bigger trading power than China All is not what it seems when it comes to China's trade figures China's trade figures for December are not out yet, but already the local media is trumpeting that the country is the world's greatest trading ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1401758/all-not-what-it-seems-when-it-comes-chinas-trade-figures
  2. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    China not the all-conquering trade power figures suggest

    Posted Dec 19th 2013, 12:12am by Tom Holland

    ... Tom Holland Trade data considerably overstates the value of China's exports because the figures fail to account for many parts being built in other countries China not the all-conquering trade power figures suggest As everyone knows, China is the workshop of the world. Since it joined the World Trade Organisation in 2001, China's trade with the rest of the world has ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1385360/china-not-all-conquering-trade-power-figures-suggest
  3. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    It pays China to block global deals on climate and trade

    Posted Dec 17th 2013, 03:19am by Tom Holland

    ... on climate and trade It's been a hectic couple of months for government negotiators and the myriad do-gooders, lobbyists and other hangers-on that habitually flock to international summit ... to Bali for the ninth ministerial meeting of the World Trade Organisation. But all those days and nights spent in talks haven't been terribly productive. In Warsaw, government environment ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1382763/it-pays-china-block-global-deals-climate-and-trade
  4. Business - Banking & Finance - MONITOR

    Hong Kong should scrap its stamp duty on share trading

    Posted Oct 18th 2013, 04:31am by Tom Holland

    ... stamp duty on share trading To support its unsuccessful attempt to list in Hong Kong, Chinese internet retail giant Alibaba argued that the city's share of Asian stock market trading ... market. It is true that trading activity in Hong Kong-listed shares is relatively limp by regional standards. In the first nine months of this year, Hong Kong's average market velocity- ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/banking-finance/article/1333961/hong-kong-should-scrap-its-stamp-duty-share-trading
  5. Business - Economy - MONITOR

    What Shanghai's brand new free-trade zone won't offer

    Posted Sep 30th 2013, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... Shanghai's brand new free-trade zone won't offer A day after the official launch of Shanghai's new free-trade zone we know little more about the project than we did a week before. Despite ... At first glance, that seems to contradict everything we have heard about Shanghai's free-trade zone. In the last few weeks finance sector analysts by the dozen have put out research notes ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/economy/article/1320818/what-shanghais-brand-new-free-trade-zone-wont-offer
  6. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Shanghai free zone smells like it's just another property deal

    Posted Sep 16th 2013, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... By Mencken's definition, then, Monitor is a cynic. Whenever anyone waxes lyrical about the stunning potential of the mainland's latest special economic district or free-trade zone, this column ... Shanghai's free-trade zone later this month, apparently untroubled by the awkward fact that policymakers have yet to decide exactly what will make the district so special. There have been vague ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1310491/shanghai-free-zone-smells-its-just-another-property-deal
  7. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    HK$146 billion hole reveals Shenzhen's illicit carry trade

    Posted May 29th 2013, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... Tom Holland Exporters are hugely overstating trade figures to take advantage of low interest rates in Hong Kong and invest borrowed money on the mainland HK$146 billion hole reveals Shenzhen's illicit carry trade On Monday the Hong Kong government's Census and Statistics Department published trade numbers showing that in April the city imported HK$160 billion worth of stuff ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1248517/hk146-billion-hole-reveals-shenzhens-illicit-carry-trade
  8. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Widening the yuan's trading band won't solve anything

    Posted May 03rd 2013, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... Tom Holland By fixing the rate higher each day, the authorities have encouraged more inflows, forcing them to intervene to buy even more foreign currency Widening the yuan's trading ... of recent highs, yesterday's gain prompted fresh market speculation that the authorities in Beijing are preparing to widen the yuan's permitted trading band, a move widely regarded ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1228687/widening-yuans-trading-band-wont-solve-anything
  9. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Claims China is world's No 1 trading economy are nonsense

    Posted Feb 14th 2013, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... Tom Holland The high import and export numbers are distorted by domestic firms fiddling taxes and the country's heavy involvement in processing trade Claims China is world'sNo1trading economy are nonsense If you believe the media reports, China passed another milestone last year, overtaking the United States to become the world's biggest trading economy. According ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1149696/claims-china-worlds-no-1-trading-economy-are-nonsense
  10. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    If this is a downturn, then Hong Kong can live with it

    Posted Nov 19th 2012, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... are so dependent on the sluggish global trade cycle, that's thoroughly respectable. In contrast, Singapore's economy contracted in the third quarter at an annualised rate of 5.9 per ... employment rate helps explain why private consumption and hence private investment in the city both remain strong, despite the localised slowdowns in trade and financial services. If this is a slump, ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1085592/if-downturn-then-hong-kong-can-live-it

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