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  1. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    To boost business, WTO must ditch 'all or nothing' approach

    Posted Dec 12th 2013, 03:12am by Tom Holland

    ... Tom Holland Two-speed structure would let small groups of members negotiate deals under trade body's structure, with the option of others joining later To boost business, WTO must ... of them in East Asia, and to add US$960 billion to the world's economic output. That equals 1.3 per cent of last year's global gross domestic product; a gain that is certainly ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1378473/boost-business-wto-must-ditch-all-or-nothing-approach
  2. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    We don't need a Future Fund. The future is already upon us

    Posted Mar 05th 2014, 01:34am by Tom Holland

    ... Tom Holland HK government should make better use of its existing resources and assets to meet the spending needs arising from an ageing population We don't need a Future Fund. The future is already upon us The government's warnings that Hong Kong is heading for a fiscal crisis of Greek proportions are ludicrous. As Monitor pointed out yesterday, new projections ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1440476/we-dont-need-future-fund-future-already-upon-us
  3. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    The US$50b a year reason China's elite love tax havens

    Posted Jan 23rd 2014, 01:13am by Tom Holland

    ... Tom Holland Taking the money out is just the first step; it's all about sending it back under the guise of foreign investment and enjoying the taxman’s largesse The US$50b a year ... of a BVI-domiciled company. Alternatively, you set up a BVI company to hold the stake you own in your mainland business before floating it in Hong Kong, booking the proceeds of the offering in an offshore ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1411288/us50b-year-reason-chinas-elite-love-tax-havens
  4. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Irrational financial markets disprove wisdom of crowds

    Posted Jun 14th 2013, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... Investors panic and sell shares over events like the US recovery and the slowing Chinese economy that should be welcomed, not feared Anyone who still believes in the wisdom of crowds ... sentiment of that crowd. But although prices impart this information with great efficiency, what the information tells us is that often the aggregate behaviour of a crowd of investors ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1260239/irrational-financial-markets-disprove-wisdom-crowds
  5. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Yuan's rise traps authorities between rock and hard place

    Posted Apr 26th 2013, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... between rock and hard place The yuan climbed to a record post-revaluation high against the US dollar yesterday (see the first chart). After its recent gains, the Chinese currency has now appreciated by 1 per cent against the US dollar so far this year. That might not sound much. But in today's low-yielding yet volatile environment, a steady annualised 3 per cent foreign exchange ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1223182/yuans-rise-traps-authorities-between-rock-and-hard-place
  6. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Davos talk of new currency war is wildly exaggerated

    Posted Jan 28th 2013, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... complain that the US Federal Reserve's ultra-loose quantitative easing policy is a ploy to debase the US dollar and erode the real value of China's vast holdings of US debt. This time, ... policies. The head of the Kuwait Investment Authority feared a wave of devaluations across Asia. And Jin Liqun, supervisory chairman of China's US$482 billion sovereign wealth fund, warned ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1137276/davos-talk-new-currency-war-wildly-exaggerated
  7. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Whiff of wishful thinking about stories of onshoring

    Posted Apr 05th 2013, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... designed especially to freshen that doggy breath. Like most businesses selling low-cost plastic items, the company's executives considered manufacturing in China. But moulding problems, ... Orapups in the US. Apparently they are not alone. In his January state-of-the-union address, US President Barack Obama described how companies, including Apple, Caterpillar and Intel, have chosen ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1207233/whiff-wishful-thinking-about-stories-onshoring
  8. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    The HK$1 trillion reason to keep Hong Kong's US dollar peg

    Posted Oct 15th 2013, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... to keep Hong Kong's US$ peg Predictably, the 30th anniversary of Hong Kong's exchange rate peg has prompted calls for the city to ditch its link to the US dollar, and switch to a peg to the yuan. Alas, the people making these calls have failed to think things through. To abandon the US dollar link would be to court financial disaster. Critics say the peg may have made sense ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1331710/hk1-trillion-reason-keep-hong-kongs-us-dollar-peg
  9. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    US economic recovery could spell disaster for Hong Kong

    Posted Apr 30th 2013, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... Tom Holland City's property market would suffer a huge blow from higher American interest rates, which are likely to result if the US recovery progresses US economic recovery could ... three months of this year. With US consumer inflation subdued at just 1.5 per cent last month, the soft first-quarter growth number has bolstered expectations that the Federal Reserve ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1226208/us-economic-recovery-could-spell-disaster-hong-kong
  10. Business - Commodities - MONITOR

    Oil price heading for US$200 as China's imports set to surge

    Posted Oct 14th 2013, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... Tom Holland With the mainland’s voracious demand, World Bank consultant projects steady climb in prices, and that will hurt global economic growth Oil price heading for US ... of oil on the international markets. According to the Energy Information Administration of the US government, last month China's net oil imports hit an average 6.3 million barrels a day, ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/commodities/article/1331068/oil-price-heading-us200-chinas-imports-set-surge

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