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  • July 29, 2014
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  1. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    The 4.3tr yuan cost of financial openness

    Posted Oct 01st 2013, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... of financial openness This column has argued ad nauseam that anyone who expects China to open up to free flows of cross-border capital will have a long wait. But before I shut up on the topic, let's see what would happen if Beijing were to announce tomorrow that it was scrapping all its controls on capital movements. Despite the recent opening initiatives, those controls ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1321681/43tr-yuan-cost-financial-openness
  2. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    We don't need a Future Fund. The future is already upon us

    Posted Mar 05th 2014, 01:34am by Tom Holland

    ... Tom Holland HK government should make better use of its existing resources and assets to meet the spending needs arising from an ageing population We don't need a Future Fund. The future is already upon us The government's warnings that Hong Kong is heading for a fiscal crisis of Greek proportions are ludicrous. As Monitor pointed out yesterday, new projections ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1440476/we-dont-need-future-fund-future-already-upon-us
  3. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Davos talk of new currency war is wildly exaggerated

    Posted Jan 28th 2013, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... complain that the US Federal Reserve's ultra-loose quantitative easing policy is a ploy to debase the US dollar and erode the real value of China's vast holdings of US debt. This time, ... Tuesday that it would adopt a new policy of inflation targeting- with its desired rate of price increases set at 2 per cent- and said it would embark on an open-ended programme of money-printing ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1137276/davos-talk-new-currency-war-wildly-exaggerated
  4. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    The US$50b a year reason China's elite love tax havens

    Posted Jan 23rd 2014, 01:13am by Tom Holland

    ... Tom Holland Taking the money out is just the first step; it's all about sending it back under the guise of foreign investment and enjoying the taxman’s largesse The US$50b a year ... was the biggest conduit for inward investment into China, channelling some US$66 billion of capital into the mainland, according to official figures. But that money was only passing through, and most ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1411288/us50b-year-reason-chinas-elite-love-tax-havens
  5. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    China may have problems, but this scare story isn't one of them

    Posted Feb 04th 2014, 05:57am by Tom Holland

    ... edition of London's Daily Telegraph. The article noted nervously that foreign currency borrowing by Chinese companies has almost quadrupled in just four years to more than US$1 trillion. Any substantial appreciation of the US dollar- and many analysts are indeed expecting gains this year- could open up a dangerous cross-currency mismatch, forcing Chinese borrowers to default ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1420190/china-may-have-problems-scare-story-isnt-one-them
  6. Business - Economy - MONITOR

    Continued yuan appreciation is no longer such a sure thing

    Posted Feb 10th 2014, 04:31am by Tom Holland

    ... in Shenzhen, is now planning to open factories in the US. For the time being the yuan will continue to strengthen, partly because Beijing has opened the door to inward investment while restricting ... a modest slowdown, China is still growing at a much faster pace than any other major economy. And as members of the US Congress keep telling us, the yuan is fundamentally undervalued, and really ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/economy/article/1424660/continued-yuan-appreciation-no-longer-such-sure-thing
  7. Business - Banking & Finance - MONITOR

    Four reasons the yuan will struggle to gain acceptance

    Posted Feb 06th 2014, 04:24am by Tom Holland

    ... Tom Holland Open and well-regulated markets, transparent governance and solid banking system needed for Chinese currency’s rise to dominance Four reasons the yuan will struggle to gain acceptance Talk to financiers in Hong Kong and you will get the impression that it is the manifest destiny of China's yuan to displace the US dollar as the world's dominant currency, ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/banking-finance/article/1421684/four-reasons-yuan-will-struggle-gain-acceptance
  8. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Why London became a centre of finance, but Shanghai won't

    Posted Oct 31st 2012, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... makes it much easier for monoglot Americans to do business there. And then there is London's success in capturing the nascent market in offshore US dollar bond issuance in the 1960s. ... outward to international markets to make their living. So it was largely British institutions and financiers that pioneered the opening of Asia's emerging markets in the 1970s and 1980s. ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1073467/why-london-became-centre-finance-shanghai-wont
  9. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    After nine years, it's time to leave the stage

    Posted Mar 06th 2014, 12:25am by Tom Holland

    ... is well over 600 million. Then there were just 11 million private cars on China's roads. Today there are nearly 100 million. In 2005 the yuan was still pegged to the US dollar. Now it has strengthened by more than a third and is even touted as a likely replacement for the US currency in world markets. Clearly there have been enormous changes. Yet a look back at some of those early ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1441327/after-nine-years-its-time-leave-stage
  10. Business - Economy - MONITOR

    The yuan is falling, but only because Beijing wants it to

    Posted Mar 03rd 2014, 02:59am by Tom Holland

    ... fallen 1.3 per cent against the US dollar. That might not sound like much, but for the yuan it is the most abrupt decline since its 1993 devaluation, and it confounded legions of analysts ... intervene in sufficient volume to prevent the yuan from appreciating under the pressure of the inflows. But if it does, it will continue to accumulate foreign-currency assets like US Treasury bonds, ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/economy/article/1438811/yuan-falling-only-because-beijing-wants-it

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