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  1. Business - Economy - MONITOR

    CY's policies will exacerbate city's coming down-cycle

    Posted Jan 16th 2014, 02:36am by Tom Holland

    ... will exacerbate city's coming down-cycle CY Leung's policy address yesterday contained lots of small things to welcome, and a couple of big ones to worry about. CY's good intentions ... when it comes to redistributing a little of Hong Kong's wealth to the city's least well-off, the chief executive is clearly thinking along the right sort of lines. It's in two ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/economy/article/1406425/cys-policies-will-exacerbate-citys-coming-down-cycle
  2. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    After nine years, it's time to leave the stage

    Posted Mar 06th 2014, 12:25am by Tom Holland

    ... Chee-hwa was still the chief executive of Hong Kong's government, and the city was struggling to emerge from a six-year-long deflationary slump. Property prices were down by half from ... those on the mainland, where many of the cities have altered almost beyond recognition. Nine years ago, China's economy ranked seventh in the world; smaller than Italy's. Today ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1441327/after-nine-years-its-time-leave-stage
  3. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Fiscal report based on lunatic projection of capital spending

    Posted Mar 04th 2014, 05:09am by Tom Holland

    ... In a nutshell the working group argued that as Hong Kong's population ages, over the next three decades the number of over-65s living in the city will grow by 1.5 million. As a result, measured ... budget. With only a modest increase in per capita spending on health and welfare, the report warns that by 2041 the city would have run up monstrous debts of HK$3 trillion. This is indeed a scary ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1439605/fiscal-report-based-lunatic-projection-capital-spending
  4. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Who's more damaging, Hong Kong officials or Occupy Central?

    Posted Feb 25th 2014, 12:32am by Tom Holland

    ... the city's officials are in a league of their own. So if people are genuinely concerned about the economic impact of traffic jams, it is the transport secretary they should be complaining about, ... majority of the 54 million visitors who came to the city last year did so to go shopping. Some two-thirds of all spending by visitors to Hong Kong takes place in the city's shops. ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1434352/whos-more-damaging-hong-kong-officials-or-occupy-central
  5. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    We don't need a Future Fund. The future is already upon us

    Posted Mar 05th 2014, 01:34am by Tom Holland

    ... by a group of government advisers that show the city sliding inescapably into a structural deficit are badly flawed. Even as an ageing population will lead to slower economic growth, ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1440476/we-dont-need-future-fund-future-already-upon-us
  6. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    It's not heresy to expect grand projects to pay for themselves

    Posted Feb 28th 2014, 01:01am by Tom Holland

    ... that on our current trajectory, rising health and welfare spending as the population ages will plunge the city into "a structural deficit" in seven to 15 years' time. The answer, Tsang ... cheaply enough. What's more, requiring them to issue bonds would expose the city's grand projects to the sort of hard scrutiny that until now they have escaped. We might just end up ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1436598/its-not-heresy-expect-grand-projects-pay-themselves
  7. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Tsang's vision of Hong Kong's future is severely out of focus

    Posted Feb 27th 2014, 01:23am by Tom Holland

    ... Kong had a young and fast-growing working age population, the city had a crying need for more and better physical infrastructure- roads, tunnels, underground railways- to boost productivity. ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1435878/tsangs-vision-hong-kongs-future-severely-out-focus
  8. Business - Economy - MONITOR

    Immigration and reclamation won't raise living standards

    Posted Feb 18th 2014, 04:34am by Tom Holland

    ... reclamation projects. In contrast, Hong Kong is suffering dire shortages of both labour and land, Tsang argued; shortages which threaten severely to handicap the city's future economic growth. ... reason to believe it would achieve any more in Hong Kong. Tsang's eagerness to expand the city's labour force and land area merely exposes the government's twin obsessions ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/economy/article/1429854/immigration-and-reclamation-wont-raise-living-standards
  9. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Neither Singapore nor Hong Kong is an Iceland waiting to happen

    Posted Feb 14th 2014, 12:42am by Tom Holland

    ... Tom Holland Despite predictions of disaster befalling the two Asian cities, they are far healthier financially than Nordic island before its economic crisis Neither Singapore nor HK ... lived and worked in both cities. Forbes ' argument is that Beijing's 2009 stimulus efforts combined with the US Federal Reserve's quantitative easing programme to trigger a twin ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1427348/neither-singapore-nor-hong-kong-iceland-waiting-happen
  10. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Fears over a 'tail risk' hard landing in China are growing

    Posted Feb 20th 2014, 01:10am by Tom Holland

    ... slowdown. Mainland visitors account for 30 per cent of the city's retail sales, they noted, while exposure to China makes up almost 20 per cent of the local banking system's assets. ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1431315/fears-over-tail-risk-hard-landing-china-are-growing

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