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  • April 21, 2014
  • Last updated: 12:28pm
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  1. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Fiscal report based on lunatic projection of capital spending

    Posted Mar 04th 2014, 05:09am by Tom Holland

    ... In a nutshell the working group argued that as Hong Kong's population ages, over the next three decades the number of over-65s living in the city will grow by 1.5 million. As a result, measured ... this runaway escalation in infrastructure spending by arguing that construction costs tend to rise faster than general inflation. As a result, the report says that to maintain a constant level ...

  2. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    We don't need a Future Fund. The future is already upon us

    Posted Mar 05th 2014, 01:34am by Tom Holland

    ... reduce the capital available to finance relatively efficient private investment. As the private sector gets crowded out, growth slows. The result is a weaker economy. So constraining government ...

  3. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    It's not heresy to expect grand projects to pay for themselves

    Posted Feb 28th 2014, 01:01am by Tom Holland

    ... declared, is for the government to "broaden the revenue base", which is a euphemism for raising more tax. In response, Monitor argued that the prospect of a deficit is the result ...

  4. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    George Osborne is wrong about China and the yuan

    Posted Feb 21st 2014, 12:24am by Tom Holland

    ... they render the results meaningless). And yesterday Britain's Chancellor of the Exchequer George Osborne, was in Hong Kong talking up London's prospects as a centre for yuan-denominated ... cash China exports to the rest of the world- has fallen from 10 per cent of the country's gross domestic product in 2007 to 2 per cent last year. But that reduction was not the result ...

  5. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    A nice idea Mr Yam, but it will be a long time before it can fly

    Posted Feb 19th 2014, 01:27am by Tom Holland

    ... it's cheap. China runs a sizeable trade surplus with the rest of the world. It also welcomes inward investment while imposing strict controls on capital outflows. As a result ...

  6. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Even an export rebound won't do much to lift China growth

    Posted Feb 13th 2014, 01:07am by Tom Holland

    ... are no longer so competitive. As a result, mainland exporters are struggling to retain their market share (see the first chart). And finally, in the past few years, the mainland economy has become so ...

  7. Business - Economy - MONITOR

    Continued yuan appreciation is no longer such a sure thing

    Posted Feb 10th 2014, 04:31am by Tom Holland

    ... As a result, we can reckon that a devaluation roughly half as great back at the end of 1993 would have put the yuan somewhere close to its fair value against a broad basket of other currencies. ...

  8. Business - Banking & Finance - MONITOR

    Four reasons the yuan will struggle to gain acceptance

    Posted Feb 06th 2014, 04:24am by Tom Holland

    ... financial markets could not come close to matching the breadth and depth of America's. As a result, the mark never gained critical mass as an investment currency. Without deep and sophisticated ... with a debt crisis of the euro zone's 18 members, only Finland and Luxembourg can claim to have kept their obligations on financial discipline. As a result, international trust in the euro has ...

  9. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    China may have problems, but this scare story isn't one of them

    Posted Feb 04th 2014, 05:57am by Tom Holland

    ... short maturities, so that by 1997 Indonesia's short-term foreign currency debts amounted to almost double the country's foreign exchange reserves. The resulting loss of confidence ...

  10. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    The essential financial reform Beijing cannot afford to ignore

    Posted Jan 28th 2014, 01:27am by Tom Holland

    ... above all in new infrastructure. Yet Beijing's rules prohibited local governments both from borrowing directly from China's banks or from issuing bonds. As a result, they had to come ... The resulting borrowing bonanza was unprecedented in scale. According to an official audit published last month, in June last year local governments were sitting on an enormous 18 trillion yuan ...




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