Book review: The Devouring Dragon, by Craig Simons
Back at the dawn of the 19th century British scholar Thomas Malthus sensed mankind's future: the "power of population is so superior to the power of the earth to produce subsistence for man, that premature death must in some shape or other visit the human race," he said.
by Craig Simons
St Martin's Press
Malthus was right to despair, judging by a gripping new assessment of China's rise in the wake of some dire planetary precedents. First, The Devouring Dragon recounts, those twisted twins the United States and Europe hammered the planet, clear-cutting forest and burning fuel in an orgy of "development". Next came China's turn. In 1976, when its rise was just starting, it chewed through only 550 million tonnes of coal.
"By 1997, its demand had exceeded that of the United States, but it still used what now looks like a quaint number: 1.4 billion [tonnes]. Then - in the 13 years from 1997 to 2009 - China added over 2 billion [tonnes] of annual coal demand, the equivalent of two new nations as voracious as the United States, which - until China surpassed it - had been the world's biggest coal consumer," writes author Craig Simons, who has reported on the environment from a dozen Asian nations for Newsweek.
Now China, with its annual growth rate nudging 10 per cent, is set to pave up to 4,900 square kilometres of roads and build enough subway lines to stretch between New York and San Francisco five times. By 2030, the mainland will build almost 430 billion square feet of floor space, potentially enabling the construction of up to 50,000 skyscrapers: the equivalent of up to 10 New York cities - which should nicely offset its "cancer villages" and toxic rivers.