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Risk of bird flu epidemic low, scientist says

Small number of infections in Guangdong with the H7N9 virus make the chance of a serious outbreak unlikely, according to expert in field

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A worker cleans a poultry market in Guangdong after traces of bird flu virus were found. Photo: Xinhua

A top mainland respiratory disease expert has said the chance of an outbreak of the H7N9 bird flu virus becoming serious in the Guangdong area is low.

Dr Zhong Nanshan said the number of people infected was small and previous serious flu outbreaks had affected a higher percentage of more vulnerable groups like the elderly.

Dr Zhong, a fellow of the Chinese Academy of Sciences, also told a press conference tests for the virus needed to be improved so people who have been infected get diagnosed and treated more quickly.

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Six people are known to have contracted the virus in Guangdong since August, with four getting sick this month.

Dr Zhong said he could not entirely rule out the chance of humans spreading the virus to each other, but only two possible cases of human transfer of H7N9 bird flu are now under investigation in two families in Shanghai and Jiangsu province.

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"These two family members engage in very close contact, which show limited human transmission," he said.

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