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Climate change
ChinaScience

Faster rate of global warming could cause tens of thousands more deaths in China each year, study warns

  • Research warns that if average increase in global temperatures reaches 2C there may be 27,000 more heat-related deaths compared with rise of 1.5C
  • Study highlights China’s increased vulnerability to warming process and urges authorities to find ways to help people to adapt

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Residents of Hangzhou in eastern China try to beat the heat by taking refuge in an air-conditioned subway station. Photo: Imaginechina
Linda Lew

China could see more than 27,000 additional heat-related deaths each year in its cities if the world’s temperature rises by just half a degree above the UN baseline of 1.5C, a new study has warned.

The research, published in the journal Nature Communications on Tuesday, warned that China would experience a faster rate of warming than the global average and this could increase the population’s vulnerability to heatwaves.

“The heat-related health risk will probably be aggravated in future,” the study said and urged the authorities to develop new adaptive measures to mitigate the risk.

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The publication of the research follows a heatwave across much of China last month in which daytime temperatures reached the high thirties and often remained above 30C at night.

The new research looked at heat-related deaths in Chinese cities between 1986 and 2005 – also taking into account factors such as the age of the population and levels of socio-economic development – and used the data to calculate the respective impact of an average increase in global temperatures of 1.5C and 2C compared with pre-industrial levels.

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