• Fri
  • Aug 1, 2014
  • Updated: 11:18am
NewsHong Kong

You can’t buy popularity, says chief pollster

Business sector believes surveys should be politically motivated, says HKU director

PUBLISHED : Friday, 28 March, 2014, 11:45am
UPDATED : Friday, 28 March, 2014, 11:45am

Money can’t buy popularity, despite what some members of the business sector believe, the chief pollster for the University of Hong Kong says.

Dr Robert Chung Ting-yiu, director of HKU Public Opinion Programme, said recent attacks from the Beijing-loyalist camp on his chief executive surveys have led to some fruitful discussion on public opinions. “But there are ideological and cultural differences between academics and the business sector, who thinks polls must be politically motivated,” said Chung on a Commercial Radio programme today.

“They thought by sponsoring another poll the problem can be solved. But this is not the case.”

His remarks came amid continuous attacks from the Beijing-loyalist camp on his polls.

It started with Peter Lee Ka-kit, son of property tycoon Lee Shau-kee, who complained about Chung’s polls during a session in Beijing attended by National People’s Congress chairman Zhang Dejiang.

Lee, a Standing Committee member of the Chinese People’s Political Consultative Conference, suggested pro-establishment organisations finance and commission their own surveys.

Central Policy Unit chief Shiu Sin-por and Executive Council member Cheung Chi-kong joined the chorus questioning Chung’s polling methodology.

Chung’s popularity poll asks respondents to rate the extent to which they support the chief executive on a scale of 0 to 100 and whether they approve or disapprove of his performance.

Cheung said on the same programme earlier this month that the results, which often found Chief Executive Leung Chun-ying’s average ratings lingering below 50, were distorted as “many respondents gave Leung 50 marks, which amount to a pass.”

But Chung said the set of questions did not target Leung, as it has been used since the ruling of the city’s last Governor Chris Patten.

“We have been doing opinion polls since the Chris Patten era. The questions have been very consistent,” said Chung. “Whether you use the concept of a pass or not, the significance is that the overall opinion leans towards the negative side. A lot of people gave a negative marks [of below 50].”

Chung added that the latest round of criticisms against his programme has prompted him to publish all raw data of his polls on the city’s chief. “Our plan to publish all data dating back to those on Chris Patten,” said Chung. “I hope there will be PhD dissertations stemming from studies on these data in the future.”

He said he was “not surprised” that the Legislative Council voted down a non-binding motion to safeguard academic freedom on Thursday. “There are a lot of political considerations when you discuss academic freedom in the Legco,” he said. “As academics we just want sufficient room for discussion.”


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Statistics are to be scientifically manipulated.
The more simple the method the more difficult to manipulate the results scientifically. With only 3 groups, negative, neutral & positive, it is very unlikely to manipulate the result scientifically unless you cheat. The most capable organization/person to cheat are probably the pro-Beijing camp & our CE.
I remember the poll he conducted for ATV about a year ago.
All along I don't quite believe in the allegations by some pro-establishment legislators and Exco members about the bias problem with the polls by Dr. Chung of HKU. But ever since last month when HKU published (in response to the criticism by Peter Lee Ka Kit of Henderson Land at CCPCC at Beijing) the raw data and the details of their polling questions, I am convinced 100% that Dr. Chung is biased against the HK government in particular against CE Leung Chun Ying .
Don't believe in what Dr Chung has said to the media nor to what I have said above, go to HKU website, use your common sense to check out the facts from the data published by Dr Chung , then you will know.
I am very dumb and know nothing about opinion poll. But I do want to know how HKU eliminate bias in its polls. For example, how does it ensure the questions asked are neutral and non-bias? What about coverage bias? What controls are in place to minimize bias?
What a dumb comment. If there is no conclusion in the question, then it is objective. If it tells lies it is not. Example: "Do you support the CE and his polices?" (objective), "Do you support Occupy Central if if it will harm the economy and chase investment away?" (not objective). Its very simple, but don't expect anything objective from the Pro-Beijing camp.


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