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Legislative Council elections 2016
Hong KongPolitics

Silence after the storm: Beijing ponders next move after game-changing Hong Kong elections

The central government has been surprisingly quiet since six radical localist lawmakers won seats in the legislature and the pro-establishment camp lost support – so what will it do next?

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(L to R) Newly elected lawmakers Lau Siu-lai,Yau Wai-ching, Nathan Law Kwun-chung, Shiu Ka-chun, Eddie Chu Hoi-dick, Roy Kwong Chun-yu, Jeremy Jansen Tam Man-ho, Claudia Mo Man-ching and Fernando Cheung Chiu-hung meet the media in Legco Building in Tamar. 20SEP16 SCMP / Sam Tsang
Gary CheungandNg Kang-chung

Beijing’s silence since the results of the Legislative Council elections were announced three weeks ago has been conspicuous. It is particularly strange as Beijing has been increasingly assertive on Hong Kong affairs and has been keeping a watchful eye on the political situation in Hong Kong in recent years.

Yet behind its apparent reticence, advisers to the central government have been doing some soul-searching over the outcome of the elections, the first Legco polls since the Occupy protests in 2014.

Vote slipped

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While pro-Beijing newspapers put a positive spin by claiming that the pro-establishment camp had achieved good results, prominent mainland experts on Hong Kong affairs who have the ears of top Beijing officials admitted that the camp’s performance was by no means rosy.

The pro-establishment camp’s share of the popular vote slipped to about 40.3 per cent from 44.1 per cent in the 2012 elections. The number of seats it got in the legislature dropped from 43 in the 2012 election to 40.

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The pan-democratic camp and localist groups garnered 54.8 per cent of about 2.2 million valid votes cast in the five geographical constituencies. Candidates from localist groups, including six winners, secured 409,025 votes, accounting for 19 per cent of total votes.
Mainland academic Qi Pengfei says the victory of six localists will change Hong Kong’s political landscape: Photo: Gary Cheung
Mainland academic Qi Pengfei says the victory of six localists will change Hong Kong’s political landscape: Photo: Gary Cheung
Qi Pengfei, director of Renmin University’s research centre on Hong Kong, Macau and Taiwan, said the victory of localists would alter the city’s political landscape, resulting in a tripartite confrontation between the pro-establishment camp, pan-democrats and localists.
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