In aftermath of US strikes on Syria, uncertainty surrounds President Donald Trump’s policy on Assad
Trump administration has generally downplayed human rights concerns while promoting an “America First” strategy de-emphasising the concerns of foreign nations
Seeking support from abroad, the US struggled Monday to explain a hazy Syria strategy that has yet to clarify key questions: whether President Bashar al-Assad must go, how displaced Syrians will be protected and when America might feel compelled to take further action.
Successive attempts by top Trump administration officials to articulate a plan have only furthered the appearance of a policy still evolving, even after the US broke with precedent last week by attacking Assad’s forces. In the absence of answers, other countries seem to be moving ahead on their own terms.
British Foreign Secretary Boris Johnson, after a meeting in Italy with US Secretary of State Rex Tillerson, floated the possibility of new sanctions on both the Syrian and Russian militaries, an idea the US has only briefly mentioned.
In an unusual announcement for a foreign government, Johnson also said the US could launch more cruise missiles into Syria like the ones US President Donald Trump ordered last week in reaction to Assad’s use of chemical weapons.
“Crucially, they could do so again,” Johnson said.
Tillerson himself raised fresh expectations for aggressive US action – and not only in Syria – as he visited Sant’Anna di Stazzema, a Tuscan village where the Nazis massacred more than 500 civilians during the second world war. As he laid a wreath, he alluded to the Syria chemical attack.
“We rededicate ourselves to holding to account any and all who commit crimes against the innocents anywhere in the world,” Tillerson said.
Although such comments hint at a more activist US foreign policy focused on preventing humanitarian atrocities, Trump has consistently suggested he prefers the opposite approach. His young administration has generally downplayed human rights concerns while promoting an “America First” strategy de-emphasising the concerns of foreign nations.
The uncertain view of US objectives prevailed as Tillerson planned to attend a meeting Tuesday of the “likemindeds” – countries that share a similar approach to resolving Syria’s protracted civil war. The session on the sidelines of the G7 summit in Italy was to include Middle East countries, including Turkey, Saudi Arabia, Jordan and the United Arab Emirates, that share a US interest in resolving the conflict and resisting Iran’s influence in Syria.
We rededicate ourselves to holding to account any and all who commit crimes against the innocents
Tillerson was scheduled to fly to Moscow on Tuesday, the first official visit by a Trump cabinet official to Russia, Assad’s strongest ally.
The US has said its Syria strategy centres on persuading President Vladimir Putin to stop supporting Assad. On Monday, the US upped the stakes significantly by accusing Russia of knowing in advance of the chemical attack and using a Russian-operated drone to help cover it up.
No component of Trump’s Syria policy has engendered more confusion than Assad’s future – an issue that similarly befuddled the Obama administration, whose once adamant position that Assad must go softened substantially by the time President Barack Obama left office in January.
Leading up to the US missile attack, Trump’s administration had said Assad’s future was up to the Syrian people. Then Trump, the day after the assault, said his thinking about Assad had changed. Tillerson answered a question about effecting regime change by saying the US was organising a coalition to do just that.
Yet after Trump’s retaliatory strike, the position became less clear. Some officials, like Tillerson, said the US was confident Syrians would choose on their own to push Assad aside, while suggesting the US wouldn’t mandate it. UN Ambassador Nikki Haley and others said ousting Assad was indeed a US goal, but only one of several.
Another unanswered question: did Trump’s strike set a precedent that any chemical attack will trigger a US response?
At the White House, spokesman Sean Spicer insisted that Trump wouldn’t box himself in by disclosing his actions in advance. But he added further uncertainty to the equation by saying that even barrel bombs – which Assad has used with frequency – would necessitate US action.
If you gas a baby, if you put a barrel bomb in to innocent people, I think you will see a response from this president
“If you gas a baby, if you put a barrel bomb in to innocent people, I think you will see a response from this president,” Spicer said.
Minutes later, the White House rushed to clarify that Spicer wasn’t announcing any new policy on barrel bombs.
“Nothing has changed in our posture,” a White House official said in a written statement.
On one point, the administration has been consistent: defeating Islamic State in Syria is the first priority. There’s less certainty about what comes now.
Tillerson and other officials have said the next priority is to create “zones of stability” in Syria where those displaced by civil war can live without fear of violence. They say that entails negotiating cease-fires between Assad’s government and rebels, who have been fighting both IS and Assad. With stability restored, they say, conditions will be ripe for a UN-brokered political transition.
Yet it’s unclear why rebel groups would agree to ceasefires with Assad, who would protect the zones, and how. Assad’s willingness to clear the way for political talks predicated on him leaving power is deeply in question.
