Supreme Essence can show his true colours
Chang's four-year-old put the writing on the wall last time and looks the one to beat from gate one in the first leg - a special conditions race
Michael Chang Chun-wai may have found the right race at the right time for Supreme Essence and, with the help of gate one, he stands out as a banker in the first leg of tomorrow night's Triple Trio at Happy Valley.
The four-year-old (Olivier Doleuze ) hasn't set the world on fire since arriving, but his last-start third showed he is the only one here that can be counted on to improve in a Class Three special-conditions race over 1,200m.
Supreme Essence, winner of three from seven and never unplaced over 1,400m to 1,650m, was taken back from the start in his first three starts and hit the line in a reasonable manner over the course and distance two starts back. Last start he was again in the latter half of the field and got home for third behind Impeccable.
Two horses that have to go in on pure ability and barrier draws, but that simply cannot be relied on based on recent form are Mi Savvy (Derek Leung Ka-chun) and Windicator Power (Zac Purton) - drawn two and three respectively.
My Goal (Douglas Whyte) is a tough old front-runner and has to go in, but he has been blessed with good gates of late and has drawn widest this time. Others to consider are Royal Partner (Gerald Mosse) and Rainbow Fighter (Andreas Suborics). In the final two legs, the 10-pound claim of apprentice Dicky Lui Cheuk-yin has been utilised by his master Ricky Yiu Poon-fai on a couple of key runners, including last-start winner Plain Red Banner.
Lui's claim offsets a five-pound re-assessment from a special-condition Class Four win and if his navigation is sound from gate four - simply finding a one-off spot would be good enough - Plain Red Banner should fill a place.
Others to go in are Mizzen Grey (Eddie Lai Wai-ming), Danzulu (Tommy Berry) and Flying Elite (Howard Cheng Yu-tin).
The final leg, a Class Three over 1,200m, sees the debut of a speedy type from New Zealand, the Caspar Fownes-trained Jaeger Bomb (Vincent Ho Chak-yiu).
The three-year-old is still raw but looks like he will be suited by the tight course. Banking on him is a risky play, but he should be included and is one to watch.
Lui has been blessed with barrier one on Yiu's Great Spirit, but it must be said that he has drawn one in two of his last three starts since winning and it hasn't helped him finish better than his last-start third.
The draw simplifies things and he should trail through for a place at worst.
In a race with plenty of chances, also include Perfect Finish (Purton) as he returns from leg problems and seems set for this, Ensemble (Douglas Whyte) and Disciple Twelve (Leung), who was unlucky last start.
(4) Mirage R, (5) Gold Tartini, (9) Dark Secret, (11) Chantilly.
(1) Red Courage, (2) Demon Demon, (4) Jazzy Feeling, (7) Jade Christy.
(2) Glenealy Star, (4) Dragimova, (6) Golden Harvest, (11) You Are The One.
(1) Windicator Power, (2) Supreme Essence, (10) Rainbow Fighter, (11) Sea The Pearls.
(2) All Round, (5) Lovely Boy, (8) Flying Elite, (9) Cheers Victories.
(3) Perfect Finish, (5) Ensemble, (6) Jaeger Bomb, (11) Disciples Twelve.
(3) Simple, (4) Good Boy Boy, (8) Charity Spirit, (9) California Bounty.
(2) Vital Gold, (3) Distill, (9) Holy Mac, (10) Hong Kong Dancer.