Ricky Yiu Poon-fai-trained Blizzard has already had race fitness on his side and felled one big John Size-trained four-year-old and the same asset in his corner gives him a chance to topple another in the Panasonic Cup (1,400m) at Sha Tin today.
Blizzard (Karis Teetan) has strung together four straight victories and five wins from his last six starts, with the only horse to beat him in that time being Size's rising star, Thewizardofoz.
Thewizardofoz was expected to account for Blizzard again on October 25 but, with Ricky Yiu's underrated four-year-old already having had two runs under his belt after the break, he was tough and outgamed his rival.
Today it's another of Size's strong four-year-old team, Sun Jewellery (Joao Moreira), who returns from the break on the first step towards the Classic Mile and once again it could be race fitness which swings things narrowly towards Blizzard.
There looks little between Blizzard and Sun Jewellery in terms of their exposed ability at this stage, with Sun Jewellery probably just slightly superior and he would have the edge if wound right up.
But he has a big campaign ahead so Size having him screwed right down today seems problematical while Yiu's galloper gets a few pounds at the weights, won't be getting any fitter and, in contrast to his last two wins, has a draw that should give him a comfortable run in the race for a change.
He sat wide and had to be very tough to win two runs ago then stepped up to 1,400m, looped around the field in a clever ride last time to make up his ground at a slow section of the race. He got first run on Thewizardofoz while that horse was being held up and then fitness saw him through.
From gate six today, he will land within striking range of the leadership, probably in a two-wide trail and probably not far from Sun Jewellery - expect a good battle between them in what shapes as a two-horse race.
It should belong to the horses forward in the field, with the main chances on-pace runners, and no real speed in the event anyway.
Divine Calling (Zac Purton) and Super Lifeline (Neil Callan) have some sort of chance dropping back from a higher class but they don't have the ideal scenario, conceding weight to two good younger horses who are at least their equal in ability and have greater scope.
The one other possible looks John Moore-trained Dashing Fellow (Howard Cheng Yue-tin). Like the favourites, he is a four-year-old with some upside and gets in with a lighter weight as his form profile, in fairness, is not quite up to the standard of Blizzard and Sun Jewellery. He has had a recent race, finishing third to Blizzard, but his big problem looks a minefield wide draw.