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China home prices
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  • Simon Siu, chairman of Estate Agents Authority, says decision to scrap extra stamp duties last month was ‘shot in the arm’ for ailing property market
  • One estate agency says transactions in city’s 35 largest housing estates hit three figures for two weeks in a row after change, highest level in almost two years

New home prices fell again in February, despite a slew of measures to prop up the market. While more easing measures can be expected, an ‘L-shaped’ recovery is likely in the coming years given weak fundamentals, Goldman says.

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The local government in Hangzhou has taken another drastic move to ease home-purchase restrictions, after an effort last year failed to sustain a rebound in the housing market.

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China’s housing market is still plagued by excess supply of used homes as desperate owners look to cash out amid an economic gloom. Prices may need to drop further, with buyers waiting for bigger discounts, analysts say.

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Shanghai’s housing market looks set to continue its downward slide due to a lack of buying interest, as would-be buyers wary of a gloomy economic outlook continue to feel uneasy about the current high property prices.

Amid a sluggish second-hand home market where supply outweighs demand and prices are slumping to fresh lows, many homeowners in China are taking to social media to sell their property in the hopes of finding a buyer more quickly and securing a better deal.

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Despite a slew of measures rolled out by Chinese regulators recently to boost demand for property, developers are still struggling with weak sales and reported declines of more than 40 per cent in January.

China’s measures to boost the nation’s troubled housing market are trickling down to the provincial and city levels, with more cities relaxing curbs to buy property.

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These estimates imply that property sales in China could fall 10 to 15 per cent this year, versus an initial forecast of about 5 per cent, CGS-CIMB’s Raymond Cheng says.

Beijing and Shanghai issued their latest round of support measures last December to shore up confidence. The measures seem to have yielded solid results. But analysts say the trend is far from sustainable.

Prices of new homes in 70 cities fell 0.4 per cent month on month in December after a 0.3 per cent drop in November, according to a Post analysis of official data.

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A growing number of ordinary homebuyers looking to occupy their house rather than invest are looking at properties that have been repossessed by banks as a supply surge brings prices even lower.

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Three out of China’s four tier-1 cities saw new-home prices fall in November, with only Shanghai showing an increase, according to National Bureau of Statistics data, as the market waits for stimulus measures to take hold.

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Homebuyers in Shenzhen have shown interest in upgrading their homes after the local government eased some policy measures, but expectations of lower incomes amid slower economic growth mean that people are still hesitant about big-ticket purchases.

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Authorities in Shenzhen, China’s technology hub, are reducing the down payment required from people buying a second home, joining a fray of big cities paring back restrictions in a bid to revive the flagging property market.

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Developers are offering sweeteners such as delayed down payments, discounts and free parking spaces to home buyers in Shanghai in an attempt to spur demand in the face of slumping sales.

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The credit ratings agency downgraded Longfor from ‘Baa3’ to ‘Ba2’ as it expects the developer’s condition to deteriorate across the board. A ratings upgrade is unlikely.

Home prices in major Chinese cities fell for the fourth straight month in October, recording the steepest drop in nearly nine years amid slumping demand.

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The positive impact of mainland China’s property stimulus measures is likely to be short-lived, with home sales remaining sluggish for at least the next six months, according to the credit ratings agency.

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Major Chinese commercial banks have cut rates for outstanding home loans as part of a series of state-directed stimulus measures aimed at easing homebuyers’ debt burdens and reviving the country’s troubled property sector. But the cut might not provide a sufficient boost to demand, analysts said.

New home prices fell 0.3 per cent month on month in August after a 0.2 per cent drop in July, official data showed. Easing measures may only lead to an ‘L-shaped’ recovery in the sector in coming years, Goldman Sachs says.

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Moody’s has revised its outlook for China’s property sector from ‘stable’ to ‘negative’ despite the introduction of a slew of stimulus measures by China’s regulatory authorities to boost home sales and prop up a flailing property market.

Shanghai is unlikely to take drastic action to revive the city’s stuttering property sector, even as Chinese policymakers announced several measures to prop up the vital economic pillar, sources said.

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Chinese authorities are easing mortgage rules and extending tax refunds for homebuyers in a bid to prop up the faltering property market and boost the economy.

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