Tom Holland

Worrying economic parallels between China and India

Worrying economic parallels between China and India

China and India are very different countries with very different economies. But visiting his opposite number in New Delhi this week, Chinese premier Li Keqiang may well have been struck by some disquieting parallels.

Tuesday, 21 May, 2013, 4:13pm 1 comment

Jake van der Kamp versus Tom Holland: who is right on Hong Kong consumer debt risk?

Business Post face-off

In Tuesday’s Business section, the Monitor column on the back page decided to pick a fight with the front page’s Jake’s View.

6 Sep 2013 - 10:43am

If this is a bubble, it is not about to burst any time soon

A reader has written in to take issue with a column from a couple of weeks ago which argued that despite the steep run-up in Hong Kong's housing prices over the last few years, there are still no signs of a classic credit-fuelled property bubble.

15 Aug 2012 - 11:15pm

Anti-pollution people power is good for growth

Chalk it up as another victory for popular protest. On Saturday, thousands of aggrieved citizens gathered in the coastal city of Qidong in Jiangsu to demonstrate against plans to build a pipeline discharging industrial waste into the sea.

30 Jul 2012 - 12:00am

Banning private birth tourism will only damage Hong Kong

Leung Chun-ying wants to ban mainland mothers from giving birth in Hong Kong's private hospitals.

He really hasn't thought this one through.

On Monday, the incoming chief executive said he would forbid mainland mothers who were not married to Hong Kong residents from giving birth in the city's private hospitals next year.

18 Apr 2012 - 12:00am

Falling wine prices hint at a hard landing ahead

The release of stronger-than-expected growth figures this week has reinforced hopes that the mainland's economy will avoid a nasty slowdown this year.

Unfortunately, steep falls in the prices of fine wine indicate that a hard landing may already be under way.

I understand that might sound like a ludicrous claim, but bear with me - it's not as silly as it seems.

20 Jan 2012 - 12:00am

Dire warnings on the perils of minimum wage don't ring true

Supporters of the minimum wage hope that by raising pay rates at the bottom of the social pile, the new law will reduce Hong Kong's income inequality and make our society more equitable. It's a fine idea, but unfortunately there's little evidence that it will work.

Tom Holland

Monitor column, September 1

2 Sep 2010 - 12:00am

America's misplaced inferiority complex

When it comes to China it seems Americans are suffering from a severe inferiority complex.

According to a Gallup poll published last week, 40 per cent of Americans think China is the leading economic power in the world today, while only 33 per cent believe the United States is top economic dog.

27 Feb 2008 - 12:00am

Don't be impressed by 'survivor bias'

Like almost everyone who uses e-mail, you probably get plagued by spam.

25 Feb 2008 - 12:00am

Game theory answer to climate blindness

Tom Holland

If the environmental policies of the United States and China seem inexplicable, a little game theory might shed light on the positions of the world's two biggest polluters.

3 Oct 2007 - 12:00am

Mainland should note Vietnam prices

If mainland policy-makers are in any doubt about the dangers of holding down the value of their currency in the face of heavy capital inflows, they only have to look at Vietnam for a salutary lesson about what can go wrong.

25 Jul 2007 - 12:00am

China's growth just won't slow

China will announce its economic growth figure for the first quarter of the year on Thursday. Expect a humdinger.

17 Apr 2007 - 12:00am

Investment success can really be down to the flip of a coin

If you are wondering whose investment advice to listen to, here is a small piece of advice about advisers: it pays to be deeply suspicious of investment 'gurus'.

5 May 2006 - 12:00am

CCB's attractive figures belie its long-term face value

China Construction Bank will have little difficulty drumming up the $48 billion to $60 billion it needs to ensure a successful initial public offering. As the first of China's Big Four state banks to reach the market, it has significant novelty value.

6 Oct 2005 - 12:00am

Cameraman interrupts Holland's opus

ING Barings was yesterday serving up more than coffee and biscuits in an effort to entertain media representatives at its 2002-The Asian Equity Markets Revival media conference.

The show started shortly after the arrival of a cameraman from terrestrial television channel TVB.

11 Jan 2002 - 12:00am