Trump’s first year failed the China test. His second looks far worse
Containing North Korea’s nuclear ambitions and narrowing the trade imbalance with Beijing topped the US president’s list when he took office. So what happened?
Trump’s move to abandon Obama’s China-unfriendly “pivot to Asia” diplomacy and the China-excluding Trans-Pacific Partnership also presented a set of positives to China. But one year on, such calculated goodwill has obviously failed to create momentum in solving differences between the two nations.
Trump’s vanishing act: a metaphor for the US in Asia?
On trade, both governments failed to narrow the imbalance. The overall US trade deficit not only rose under Trump, it hit a record. On Friday last week, China reported its largest-ever surplus with the US – US$275.8 billion in 2017. In a telephone conversation on Monday, Trump expressed his disappointment about this, telling Xi the growing trade deficit was not sustainable. The call came amid talks of a trade war, as the administration gears up to announce a string of actions, including possible tariffs. US investigators claim China is distorting trade and hurting US firms and workers.
Overall, it seems US-China relations turned sour during the roller-coaster ride of Trump’s first year in office. Now two recent developments might reflect the Trump administration’s evolving relationship with China. First, in his first national security strategy released recently, Trump labelled China as a strategic rival that was seeking to erode US security and prosperity. Second, the recent grouping of the four “like-minded” democracies of the US, Japan, India and Australia – known as the Quadrilateral Security Dialogue or Quad – seems to be a US-led alliance to check China’s assertiveness and contain its rise. Despite talk and gestures of goodwill, the latest developments might signal a new era of cold-war style competition between the world’s two top political adversaries – the leading free democracy and last major communist-ruled power. ■
Forget the Xi-Trump bromance, it’s time the US came clean on its vision for China and Asia
Cary Huang, a senior writer with the South China Morning Post, has been a China affairs columnist since the 1990s