THE prospects for political liberalisation in China could hinge on the struggle between the civil society and its enemies.
The former refers to socio-economic entities and initiatives outside the orbit of the Chinese Communist Party. Their foes are conservative elements in the CCP which will not brook any challenge to Marxist orthodoxy and one-party dictatorship.
In spite of the strengthening of the police-state apparatus after the June 4, 1989 crackdown, the civil society has experienced phenomenal growth thanks to the development of the non-state economy and the budding spirit of tolerance and diversity at the social and cultural level.
While most non-party-controlled set-ups operate under heavy surveillance by state security, the seeds for the flowering of some form of people power with Chinese characteristics have been sown.
According to official statistics, there are 1,700-odd non-official social organisations at the national-level, up 44 per cent from 1990. Those at the local level have since 1990 increased by 11 per cent to exceed 200,000.
Most of these are academic, professional, and cultural units with hidden but substantial party and government affiliations.