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Aluminium stars in China futures

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ALUMINIUM futures are the darling of the Shenzhen Metal Exchange, if only because they are among a handful of commodities that actually trade like futures.

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In the context of China's infant futures industry, that means that 14 of the nation's 110 aluminum producers have registered their products with the exchange and have hedged against 4 per cent of their output between 1992 and September 1995.

To outsiders that might seem like dabbling, but to a scandal-plagued industry with a reputation as a 'gambling den', it is held as proof that futures have an essential role in China's economy.

'China's futures market is the inevitable consequence of the development of its market economy . . . but it is still a market characterised by high speculation and high risk,' Shenzhen Metal Exchange president Zheng Yuanheng told a national futures conference in Beijing late last year.

Futures industry experts agreed that China's real problem was not excessive speculation but insufficient hedging.

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New incentives to attract more hedgers into the futures markets could include lower margins, lower commissions and higher position limits, Mr Zheng said.

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