Charming Dragon can exploit his low draw and high-octane acceleration by taking tonight's final event at Happy Valley. The Ricky Yiu-trained gelding contests an ordinary-looking Class Three 1,000-metre sprint where those up on the speed are sure to be favoured. The rail is out to the 'C' Course and then another three metres. When the rail is out like this the bends make up more of the track and the straights correspondingly less. This is one of the main reasons the front runners are to be followed as it is so much harder to make up ground when racing around a bend. Horses become unbalanced and also use up more energy. At Happy Valley this is particularly the case because the top bend - the only bend at the 1,000-metre trip - sends horses out wide into the straight. So anything trying to make ground behind Charming Dragon is likely to be thrown out wide and lose another length or so. This all presumes that Charming Dragon will win the race for the lead but from barrier two, with his explosive turn of foot from the gates, there is every reason to make this supposition. His chance of leading is enhanced by the presence of Jacqwin on his inside. Jacqwin, owned by the larger-than-life Sunny Yam of Danewin fame, has developed a tendency to miss the start. Her tardiness at the barriers has not been anywhere near as marked in her jump-outs since her reappearance when she lost all chance by jumping so slowly. But it is conceivable that under race conditions Jacqwin could resort to type and miss the jump again. Should Jacqwin jump on terms then she is likely to pose a considerable danger as her work this season has been most pleasing and she also appears to have put on condition.