The Democrats are heading for a major victory in the first Legislative Council elections by winning 13 of the 20 directly elected seats, according to a poll commissioned by the South China Morning Post. With three functional constituency seats virtually secured, the Democratic Party is poised to stage a political comeback as the largest political force in Legco. The Liberal Party is eyeing about 13 seats, while the Democratic Alliance for the Betterment of Hong Kong (DAB) considers keeping 10 seats as its best scenario. A total of 1,304 registered voters from five geographical constituencies were asked by Asian Commercial Research (ACR) between March 27 and April 1 whether they would vote and for which party they would cast their ballots. ACR used the predicted turnout and the total number of voters in the five constituencies to project the number of votes and seats each party would secure on May 24. In the 20 geographical seats, the Democrats would win 13. The DAB would get four or five, with the Liberal Party taking the remainder. The Democrats would get 118,500 of the 181,000 expected votes - or 65.5 per cent - in Hong Kong Island constituency. The DAB's share would be 34,000 votes, or 18.8 per cent. Under the proportional representation system, the Democrats would get three seats which would go to Martin Lee Chu-ming, Yeung Sum and Yuen Bun-keung. The fourth seat would go to the DAB's Cheng Kai-nam. Votes for the Citizens Party, represented by Christine Loh Kung-wai, (8,000) and the Liberal Party list headed by Ada Wong Ying-kay (5,000), would not be enough for a seat. In Kowloon East, the Democrats' share would be 108,000 votes and the DAB's 34,000 votes, or 76 per cent and 24 per cent. Two seats would, therefore, go to Szeto Wah and Fred Li Wah-ming and the third to Chan Yuen-han. In Kowloon West, the Democrats would get 68,000, or 62 per cent of the 109,500 expected votes, to win two seats. The third would go either to the DAB or the Liberal Party, both of which could expect about 14,500 votes each. The Association for Democracy and People's Livelihood, led by its chairman Frederick Fung Kin-kee, would finish with 12,500 votes, or 11.4 per cent. In New Territories East, the Democrats would win 105,000 of 199,000 votes. The DAB would get 30,000 (15 per cent); Liberal Party, 26,500 (13.3 per cent); The Frontier, 16,500 (8.3 per cent); and independent Andrew Wong Wang-fat, 6,000 (three per cent). Accordingly, the Democrats would win three seats. The remaining two would go to the DAB and the Liberal Party, headed by Allen Lee Peng-fei. Of the total 196,500 likely votes in New Territories West, 124,000 would go to the Democrats, enough for three of the five seats. The DAB could expect 25,000 and the Liberals 19,000 for the other two seats. Top DAB candidate Tsang Yok-sing admitted his victory had yet to be secured. 'Regardless of whether the polls are based on the names of the party or the candidates, I'm still behind,' he said. 'But I think my support is rising. The situation is not too bad. And now I've decided to run, just do it.'