The Democratic Party is being tipped to win 11 of the 20 geographical seats. A forecast by the Hong Kong Transition Project also predicts defeat for Liberal Party chairman Allen Lee Peng-fei and his Democratic Alliance for the Betterment of Hong Kong (DAB) counterpart Tsang Yok-sing in New Territories East and Kowloon West respectively. The forecast is based on a survey of 842 voters conducted between April 14 and 21. According to the findings, the Democrats would grab two seats from each geographical constituency except New Territories East, where they are expected to win three. The fourth seat in New Territories East would go to The Frontier's Emily Lau Wai-hing with the fifth likely to go to non-affiliated Andrew Wong Wang-fat. In New Territories West, Executive Councillor Tam Yiu-chung of the DAB would win a seat with 13 per cent. The other two would go to The Frontier's Lee Cheuk-yan and New Territories Alliance's Lam Wai-keung. The third Island seat should go to the DAB's Gary Cheng Kai-nam and the last to Citizens Party chairwoman Christine Loh Kung-wai or the non-affiliated Jennifer Chow Kit-bing, both expected to win about 10 per cent. Kowloon East is expected to be carved up by the Democrats' Szeto Wah, Fred Li Wah-ming and the DAB's Chan Yuen-han. The third seat in Kowloon West should go to Frederick Fung Kin-kee of the Association for Democracy and People's Livelihood (ADPL) with about 15 per cent. Noting that the DAB would only end up with three seats, project director Dr Michael DeGolyer said the party would have to re-examine its stance towards the Government after the election. The survey identified public dissatisfaction in areas such as the economy, the protection of freedom of the press and insuring the quality of education. Thirty-six per cent of respondents said the SAR had done a worse job than the pre-handover government on the economy and 37 per cent said the same on protecting freedom. Dr DeGolyer predicted the turnout rate would be around 35 per cent, similar to 35.8 per cent turnout in 1995.