THE Democratic Party will snap up 55 per cent of the votes in the five geographical constituencies contested in the May 24 Legislative Council elections. The Democratic Alliance for the Betterment of Hong Kong (DAB) will secure 15 per cent of the ballots, with the remainder being split among all the other parties. Those are the views of 1,892 electors - about 380 in each constituency - who were questioned by the Asian Commercial Research (ACR) survey group between May 8 and 14. The survey found that in Kowloon West, the Democrats, led by unionist Lau Chin-shek, would get 85,000 of an estimated 131,250 valid votes, representing 64.7 per cent of the constituency. Both Mr Lau and James To Kun-sun would be re-elected. They would be followed by the Association for Democracy and People's Livelihood (ADPL), which would get 21,500 votes, or 16.4 per cent - enough to beat DAB chairman Tsang Yok-sing to a seat. Mr Tsang, who lost to the ADPL's Bruce Liu Sing-lee in 1995, would get about 14,250 votes, or 10.9 per cent. In New Territories East, the DAB team led by newly-recruited hopeful Lau Kong-wah, would also trail its rivals, receiving about 14,750 votes, or 8.7 per cent. The Democrats would get the highest number of votes - 54,000 (31.7 per cent) - winning two of the five seats. Andrew Cheng Kar-foo would take the first seat and Wong Sing-chi, who moved to second slot on the Democrats' list after the withdrawal of John Tse Wing-ling, would take the other. Frontier's two-woman team would get 28 per cent of the vote, about 47,750 votes, enabling only Emily Lau Wai-hing to secure a seat. The last two seats would go to independent Andrew Wong Wang-fat with 26,750 votes (15.7 per cent) and the Liberal Party's Allen Lee Peng-fei with 22,000 votes (12.9 per cent). In Hong Kong Island, the Democrats' team, led by Martin Lee Chu-ming, would win about 98,000 votes, about 58.3 per cent. Mr Lee and right-hand man Yeung Sum would get seats. The other two would go to DAB team leader Gary Cheng Kai-nam with 26,500 (15.8 per cent), and Citizens Party leader Christine Loh Kung-wai with 24,750 votes (14.7 per cent). In New Territories West, the Democrats would snap up three seats with a total of 104,500 votes (53.7 per cent). The winners would be Lee Wing-tat, Albert Ho Chun-yan and Zachary Wong Wai-yin, who occupies the third position on the list after Albert Chan Wai-yip pulled out because he failed to meet the right of abode requirement. Unionists Tam Yiu-chung of the DAB and Lee Cheuk-yan of The Frontier would take the remaining two seats. Their tally would likely be 31,500 (16.2 per cent) for Mr Tam and 22,750 (11.7 per cent) for Mr Lee. In Kowloon East, Democrats would get an overwhelming 71.8 per cent of the vote, or about 90,000, giving Szeto Wah and Fred Li Wah-ming easy victories. The third seat would go to DAB's Chan Yuen-han with about 31,250 votes, or 26.9 per cent. Mr Tsang said he remained confident. 'I don't feel bad about the present situation. The number of 'swinging votes' is still high. The possibility of significant change in voting results is high.' Democrat Lee Wing-tat said the poll results were similar to their own survey conducted earlier, except for even better predictions in the New Territories East constituency. 'Our survey showed Emily Lau was still leading us with a few percentage points.'