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Citic shines as risk eases

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CITIC Pacific is a conglomerate with interests in Hong Kong and in the mainland in aviation, utilities, manufacturing, toll roads and property. It holds stakes in Hong Kong Telecom, Cathay Pacific and CLP Holdings.

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ABN Amro has put a buy on the stock, saying its risk profile has fallen significantly as interest rates eased.

'If interest rates fall sharply - as we project - the risk associated with a highly geared company should fall,' the brokerage said.

Based on Thursday's closing price of $18.65, Citic is trading at a 32.5 per cent discount to its net asset value. ABN predicts that discount will narrow to 20 per cent, setting a target price of $22.

ABN estimates Citic's net debt at $21.6 billion by the end of the year and that a 1 per cent reduction in the effective interest rate will boost profit by $216 million.

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That the chairman of parent Citic Beijing had helped Citic Pacific meet its financial obligations this year showed ties with Beijing remained strong, ABN said.

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