Advertisement

Pollster predicts 43-48pc will vote

Reading Time:1 minute
Why you can trust SCMP

Turnout for tomorrow's Legislative Council polls will be in the range of 43 to 48 per cent, according to pollster Robert Chung Ting-yiu.

Advertisement

Surveys carried out among registered voters since nominations closed in early August showed those who said they would vote rose from 68 per cent to 78 per cent this month and remained steady.

But Dr Chung, of the University of Hong Kong, said in his POP Express Election Extra that he expected tomorrow's turnout rate would fall to between 43 and 48 per cent. The election in 1998 saw a turnout of 53 per cent.

The surveys covered more than 14,900 registered voters, with a response rate of 66.7 per cent.

A survey carried out by the social policy research centre of Polytechnic University found 73 per cent of 1,047 respondents were unable to state the number of campaign tickets in their constituencies.

Advertisement

Of the 323 respondents who had decided who they would vote for, 67 per cent were supporters of government critics such as The Frontier, the Democrats, the Confederation of Trade Unions or the April Fifth Action group.

loading
Advertisement