Probability of independent events
Two events are independent if the occurrence or non-occurrence of one event does not affect the probability of occurrence of the other event.
1. Two fair dice, one green and one red, are thrown.
Let A be the event that the green die is even.
Let B be the event that the red die is greater than 4.
(a) Find P (A) and P (B).
P (A) = 1/2
P (B) = 1/3
(b) Find the probability that both A and B happen.
P (green die is even and red die is greater than 4):
= 6/36 = 1/6
(c) What can you say about P (A), P (B) and P (A and B)?
If A and B are independent events, then
P (A and B) = P (A) P (B)
2. In tossing a coin twice, what is the probability that both are heads?
P (1st toss is H) = 1/2
P (2nd toss is H) = 1/2
P (both are H) = (1/2) (1/2) = 1/4
3. A bag contains 3 white balls and 4 black balls. Two balls are drawn in succession from the bag. The first ball is replaced before the next one is drawn.
Let A be the event that the first ball drawn is white.
Let B be the event that the second ball drawn is black.
(a) Find P (A) and P (B)
P (A) = 3/7
P (B) = 4/7
(b) Find the probability that the first ball drawn is white and the second ball drawn is black.
P (A and B) = 12/49
Product law
If E and F are independent events, then:
P (E and F) = P (E) P (F)
1. In a multiple-choice test, each question has five choices. If a student attempts each question by guessing, find the probability that:
(a) he will answer the first four questions correctly.
P (first four questions correct):
= (1/5) (1/5) (1/5) (1/5) = 1/625
(b) he will answer the first question correctly and the next
three wrongly.
P (first one correct and next three wrong):
= (1/5) (4/5) (4/5) (4/5)
= 64/625
2. Two cards are drawn in succession from a deck of 52 cards. The first card is replaced after the first draw. Find the probability that:
(a) both are the king of spades.
P (first card is king of spades) = 1/52
P (second card is king of spades) = 1/52
P (both are king of spades) = (1/52)(1/52) = 1/2704
(b) the first card is a heart and the second card is the '6' of
hearts.
P (first card is a heart) = 1/4
P (second card is the '6' of hearts) = 1/52
P (first card is a heart and the second card is the '6'
of hearts):
= (1/4) (1/52) = 1/208